Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Player Props & Picks (11/5/23)
On Sunday (11/5/23), the Los Angeles Rams face the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. In this article, find player props for this NFC showdown, including analysis for Jayden Reed, Cooper Kupp, and AJ Dillon.
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Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Player Prop Picks
Matthew Stafford’s status is still up in the air ahead of Sunday’s game against the Packers. Does Green Bay have the inside track to snapping its losing streak? How does Stafford’s uncertainty affect the Rams’ weapons? Here’s a closer look at the best player prop bets for Sunday’s matchup.
Jayden Reed Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Jayden Reed’s catch rate hasn’t been exceptionally high, but he’s quickly emerged as a big-play threat for Jordan Love. Reed has a 30+ yard reception in four of the Packers’ seven games and has surpassed 28 receiving yards in five of seven games. It might just take one big play to hit the over.
Even if that play isn’t there, Reed should be targeted enough to have a strong chance at 30+ yards. He’s averaging 5.3 targets per game, and his catch rate has improved from 45% in his first three games to 65% over his last four.
With Love looking for a breakthrough game and the Packers’ offense set to see the field often if Stafford can’t go, over 27.5 yards for Reed is doable.
Royce Freeman Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+260, FanDuel)
It’s worth taking a flier on Royce Freeman to find the end zone against the Packers. Freeman has looked surprisingly solid as the Rams use him and Darrell Henderson Jr. to replace Kyren Williams, and he was used in an LA goal-line situation against the Cowboys last week.
With Freeman averaging about five yards per carry (or higher) in each of his first two games seeing action with the Rams, it’s certainly possible we see more of him on Sunday — particularly after Henderson’s inefficient game against Dallas. Considering Henderson was already waived by the Rams once, it’s unlikely they’re married to the idea that he has to be the feature back until Williams can return.
Cooper Kupp Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Kupp might not have Matthew Stafford, but make no mistake — he will still be a frequent target if Brett Rypien is the starter.
After back-to-back down weeks, the Rams know their best path to offensive success with or without Stafford is to send the ball Kupp’s way. Rypien targeted Kupp three times in a little more than a quarter against Dallas after entering for Stafford, and the Rams might similarly have to utilize the passing game to catch up to Green Bay if it’s Rypien under center.
Kupp’s down performances didn’t come as a result of a lack of targets — he was targeted 10 times last week and seven times vs. Pittsburgh. Regardless of who’s at quarterback, those passes are going to start being caught sooner rather than later considering Kupp’s talent level.
A.J. Dillon Under 31.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
A.J. Dillon’s efficiency has been disappointing dating back to last season, and it’s clear the Packers don’t plan on using him heavily when Aaron Jones is in the lineup. As Jones works his way back to full health after missing a solid portion of the first few weeks, chances are that Dillon won’t have the necessary carries to break 32 rushing yards.
In the four games Jones has played this season, Dillon has rushed for less than 20 yards in three of them. He was held to 11 rushing yards last week even with Jones’ workload not through the roof. Some of that had to do with the Packers’ reliance on the passing game to catch up to the Vikings, but Dillon averaging less than two yards per carry certainly isn’t helpful, either.
While the Packers may have to lean on the running game a bit more this week, it looks like a healthy Jones will be handling much more of the work for Green Bay.
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