Rangers vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – NHL Playoffs First Round Game 3

By Lineups Staff | Aug 24, 2024, 6:12am

Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round will see the New York Rangers hit the ice against the Washington Capitals on Friday, April 26, starting at 7:00 PM ET and brodcast on TNT, truTV, SN360, TVAS, Max, MNMT, and MSG. The Rangers are ahead 2-0 in the series. The Capitals are underdogs (+145) against the Rangers (-175).

Get ready for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a look at who we predict will emerge with the victory.

Contents

Rangers vs. Capitals Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Rangers 4, Capitals 3.

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-175)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

Rangers Splits and Trends

The Rangers (55-23-4 overall) have a 12-4-16 record in games that have needed overtime.
In the 25 games New York has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 20-4-1 record (good for 41 points).
In the eight games this season the Rangers registered only one goal, they went 2-6-0 (four points).
New York has finished 9-9-1 in the 19 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 19 points).
The Rangers are 46-7-3 in the 56 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 95 points).
In the 36 games when New York has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 24-12-0 to record 48 points.
In the 53 games when it outshot its opponent, New York is 36-14-3 (75 points).
The Rangers’ opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Rangers went 20-8-1 in those matchups (41 points).

Capitals Splits and Trends

The Capitals have posted a record of 8-11-19 in overtime games as part of an overall mark of 40-31-11.
Washington has earned 38 points (16-3-6) in its 25 games decided by one goal.
In 14 games this season when the Capitals finished a game with only one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-12-1).
When Washington has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned 26 points (10-9-6 record).
The Capitals have earned 62 points in their 39 games with three or more goals scored.
This season, Washington has recorded a lone power-play goal in 28 games and registered 30 points with a record of 13-11-4.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Washington has posted a record of 11-8-5 (27 points).
The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 59 games, going 28-25-6 to register 62 points.

Team Stats Comparison

Rangers Rank	Rangers AVG		Capitals AVG	Capitals Rank
7th	3.39	Goals Scored	2.63	28th
7th	2.76	Goals Allowed	3.07	16th
12th	31.5	Shots	26.5	30th
10th	29.5	Shots Allowed	30.5	21st
3rd	26.42%	Power Play %	20.61%	18th
3rd	84.48%	Penalty Kill %	78.97%	18th