Predictions for Mets vs. Rangers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 18

Tuesday’s contest between the Texas Rangers (33-39) and New York Mets (34-37) matching up at Globe Life Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Rangers, so expect a tight matchup. The game will start at 8:05 PM ET on June 18.

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Mets vs. Rangers Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Rangers Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Rangers Betting Lines

Mets vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -125 +105 8.5 -120 +100

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 35 games this year, and has walked away with the win 19 times (54.3%) in those games.
  • The Mets have a mark of 11-12 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 36 of 71 opportunities.
  • The Mets had a 7-2 record in the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Rangers Betting Insights

  • Texas has won 36.7% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (11-19).
  • The Rangers are 7-11 (winning just 38.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
  • Texas has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 72 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 26 of those games (26-43-3).
  • The Rangers have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Texas and its opponents have failed to hit the over 10 times.

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Mets vs. Rangers Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.12, a 2.00 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.179 in 13 games this season.
  • Luis Severino’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-4.
  • Severino’s team has won six of his 13 starts this season.
  • Games Severino has started this season hit the over eight times in 13 chances.

Rangers’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen

  • In 11 games this season, the 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.86, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .212 against him.
  • The Rangers have a 4-4 record in Lorenzen’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lorenzen’s team has put together a 4-7 record in his 11 starts.
  • Michael Lorenzen has started 11 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-37
Home 18-23
Road 16-14
One-Run Games 15-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-11

Rangers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 33-39
Home 16-18
Road 17-21
One-Run Games 9-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-4

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