Predictions for Rays vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 4

Tuesday’s game between the Miami Marlins (21-39) and the Tampa Bay Rays (29-31) at LoanDepot park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Marlins taking home the win. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on June 4.

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Rays vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Rays vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Rays vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Rays vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Rays -130 +110 7 -122 +102

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Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has been chosen as the favorite in 37 games this year, and has walked away with the win 19 times (51.4%) in those games.
  • The Rays have a win-loss record of 12-12 when favored by -130 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over in 30 of 60 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rays played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they finished 3-4 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Tampa Bay and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has gone 18-27 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
  • The Marlins are 13-23 (winning just 36.1% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times this season for a 31-28-1 record against the over/under.
  • In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 8-6.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Rays vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot

  • The 26-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with a 3.88 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .175.
  • Ryan Pepiot’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-4.
  • Pepiot’s team has a 5-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Pepiot has started this season hit the over four times in nine chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Jesús Luzardo

  • Over nine games this season, the 26-year-old has a 4.18 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .226 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins are 3-4 in Luzardo’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Luzardo’s nine starts, his team is 3-6.
  • Jesus Luzardo has started nine contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

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Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 29-31
Home 17-18
Road 12-13
One-Run Games 12-4
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 21-39
Home 11-21
Road 10-18
One-Run Games 8-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 13-7

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