Predictions for Rays vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 28

Friday’s contest that pits the Tampa Bay Rays (40-41) versus the Washington Nationals (38-42) at Tropicana Field has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Rays. First pitch is at 6:50 PM ET on June 28.

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Rays vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Rays vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Rays 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Rays vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Rays vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Rays -155 +130 7.5 -115 -105

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Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has been victorious in 24, or 55.8%, of the 43 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Rays have come away with a win five times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -155 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of 81 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rays had a 3-1 record over the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Tampa Bay and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been the moneyline underdog 67 total times this season. It has gone 30-37 in those games.
  • The Nationals have a 17-23 record (winning 42.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
  • Washington has played in 80 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-39-4).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and went 3-4 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

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Rays vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Zach Eflin

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.20 and 7 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .264 in 14 games this season.
  • When Zach Eflin starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-5.
  • Eflin’s team has won eight of his 14 starts.
  • Games Eflin has started this season hit the over six times in 14 chances.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Mitchell Parker

  • The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.30, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opponents are batting .229 against him.
  • The Nationals are 6-5 in Parker’s 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Parker’s 13 starts, his team is 7-6.
  • Mitchell Parker has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those games.

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Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-41
Home 21-24
Road 19-17
One-Run Games 16-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-6

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-42
Home 17-19
Road 21-23
One-Run Games 7-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-10

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