Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s contest between the New York Yankees (56-38) and Tampa Bay Rays (45-47) going head to head at Tropicana Field has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 6:50 PM ET on July 11.

Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!

Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info

MLB is back on Apple TV+! Watch two live games every week, daily coverage, and more.

Yankees vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Rays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

Bet on this or any MLB matchup at BetMGM

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines

Yankees vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -115 -105 8 -115 -105

Get tickets for any MLB game this season at Ticketmaster!

Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 71 games this year, and has walked away with the win 41 times (57.7%) in those games.
  • This season, the Yankees have been victorious 41 times in 71 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 94 chances this season.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 1-11 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won 17 of the 40 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.5%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Rays have gone 13-18 (41.9%).
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times this season for a 44-45-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have failed to hit the over 11 times.

Catch MLB action all season long on ESPN+!

Read More About This Game

Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.41, a 5.3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.081.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team has won 37.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-10).
  • In games Cortes has started, his team is 7-12.
  • Out of Cortes’ 19 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz

  • In one game this season, he has a 4.50 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .292 against him.
  • The Rays have always been the moneyline underdog when Shane Baz starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Baz’s only start with a total this season went under.

Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.

Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 56-38
Home 25-19
Road 31-19
One-Run Games 11-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 42-5

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-47
Home 24-26
Road 21-21
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-6

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

Post
Shared content written by the Lineups Staff!

Hot MLB Stories