Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s contest between the New York Yankees (56-38) and Tampa Bay Rays (45-47) going head to head at Tropicana Field has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 6:50 PM ET on July 11.

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Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Rays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines

Yankees vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -115 -105 8 -115 -105

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 71 games this year, and has walked away with the win 41 times (57.7%) in those games.
  • This season, the Yankees have been victorious 41 times in 71 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 94 chances this season.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 1-11 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won 17 of the 40 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.5%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Rays have gone 13-18 (41.9%).
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times this season for a 44-45-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have failed to hit the over 11 times.

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Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.41, a 5.3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.081.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team has won 37.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-10).
  • In games Cortes has started, his team is 7-12.
  • Out of Cortes’ 19 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz

  • In one game this season, he has a 4.50 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .292 against him.
  • The Rays have always been the moneyline underdog when Shane Baz starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Baz’s only start with a total this season went under.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 56-38
Home 25-19
Road 31-19
One-Run Games 11-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 42-5

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-47
Home 24-26
Road 21-21
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-6

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