Predictions for Red Sox vs. Athletics: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s contest at Fenway Park has the Boston Red Sox (50-41) squaring off against the Oakland Athletics (35-59) at 7:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 win for the Red Sox, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Red Sox vs. Athletics Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Athletics Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Athletics 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

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Red Sox vs. Athletics Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Athletics Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -238 +195 10 -105 -115

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been victorious in 28, or 57.1%, of the 49 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Red Sox have been listed as a favorite of -238 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 45 of 91 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox had a 7-4 record over the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times.

Athletics Betting Insights

  • Oakland has won 28 of the 85 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (32.9%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +195 or longer, the Athletics have a 4-5 record (winning 44.4% of their games).
  • Oakland has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 42 times this season for a 42-50-2 record against the over/under.
  • The Athletics have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and went 5-9 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Oakland and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Red Sox vs. Athletics Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 2.68, a 4.61 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.045.
  • Tanner Houck’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-4).
  • Houck’s team has a 12-6 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Houck has started this season, the teams are 7-9-2 at hitting the over.

Athletics’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Medina

  • Over seven games this season, the 25-year-old has a 4.37 ERA and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .267 to his opponents.
  • The Athletics have a 2-5 record in Medina’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Medina’s team has a 2-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Medina’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in seven games with a set total this season.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 50-41
Home 21-24
Road 29-17
One-Run Games 11-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-4

Athletics’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-59
Home 22-25
Road 13-34
One-Run Games 12-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-7

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