Predictions for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 26

Wednesday’s game between the Boston Red Sox (43-37) and Toronto Blue Jays (36-43) squaring off at Fenway Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Red Sox, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 7:10 PM ET on June 26.

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -155 +130 10 -102 -118

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been victorious in 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Red Sox have won nine of 13 games when listed as at least -155 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 38 of 80 chances this season.
  • The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 10 times.

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto has been the underdog on the moneyline 30 total times this season. It has finished 7-23 in those games.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Blue Jays have a 2-2 record (winning 50% of their games).
  • Toronto has played in 79 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-41-3).
  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and went 1-7 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Toronto and its opponents are 7-6-2 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford

  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.59 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • Kutter Crawford’s team has a record of 2-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Crawford’s team has won four of his 16 starts.
  • Games started by Crawford have a 6-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez

  • In five games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 5.94, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .304 against him.
  • The Blue Jays were named the moneyline underdog for one Yariel Rodriguez start this season — they lost.
  • Rodriguez’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Rodriguez’s starts went over the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-37
Home 19-21
Road 24-16
One-Run Games 10-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-4

Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-43
Home 18-19
Road 18-24
One-Run Games 8-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-5

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