Predictions for Red Sox vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 29

Saturday’s game between the Boston Red Sox (43-38) and San Diego Padres (45-41) going head to head at Fenway Park has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Red Sox, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will start at 4:10 PM ET on June 29.

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Red Sox vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Red Sox vs. Padres Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -143 +120 8.5 -115 -105

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been victorious in 23, or 54.8%, of the 42 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Red Sox have a win-loss record of 11-6 when favored by -143 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 81 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for seven of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times.

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been the moneyline underdog 36 total times this season. It has gone 18-18 in those games.
  • The Padres have a 7-8 record (winning 46.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • In the 86 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for San Diego, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-39-1).
  • In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-4.
  • San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over 11 times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 2.18 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .211.
  • Tanner Houck’s team is 10-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Houck has started, his team is 11-5.
  • Games started by Houck have a 6-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Michael King

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.75, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opposing batters have a .229 batting average against him.
  • The Padres have a 4-3 record in King’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • King’s team has won nine of his 16 starts.
  • Michael King has had 16 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 10 of those matchups hit the over.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-38
Home 19-22
Road 24-16
One-Run Games 10-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-4

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-41
Home 24-22
Road 21-19
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-4

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