Predictions for Red Sox vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 30

Sunday’s game between the Boston Red Sox (43-39) and the San Diego Padres (46-41) at Fenway Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Red Sox taking home the win. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET on June 30.

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Red Sox vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

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Red Sox vs. Padres Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -112 -108 10 -110 -110

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been the favorite in 43 games this season, and has come away with the win 23 times (53.5%) in those contests.
  • The Red Sox have a win-loss record of 23-20 when favored by -112 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over in 40 of 82 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox had a 4-4 record over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over 11 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has gone 19-18 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 51.4% of those games).
  • The Padres have gone 18-15 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer (54.5%).
  • San Diego has played in 87 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-39-1).
  • The Padres have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, San Diego and its opponents are 11-4-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Josh Winckowski

  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.26, a 2.25 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.484 in 13 games this season.
  • Josh Winckowski’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Winckowski’s team is 2-1 when he starts this season.
  • In games Winckowski has started this season, the teams are 1-2-0 at hitting the over.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Matt Waldron

  • In 16 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.43, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .228 against him.
  • The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Waldron’s starts this season, and they went 2-5 in those matchups.
  • Waldron’s team is 7-9 over his 16 starts.
  • Waldron’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of 16 contests.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-39
Home 19-23
Road 24-16
One-Run Games 10-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-4

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-41
Home 24-22
Road 22-19
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-4

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