Predictions for Red Sox vs. Tigers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 30

Thursday’s game features the Boston Red Sox (28-28) and the Detroit Tigers (27-28) matching up at Fenway Park in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 4-3 victory for the Red Sox according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on May 30.

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Red Sox vs. Tigers Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Tigers Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Tigers 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs

Red Sox vs. Tigers Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -122 +102 7.5 +101 -130

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been the favorite in 26 games this season, and has come away with the win 14 times (53.8%) in those contests.
  • The Red Sox have a mark of 12-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 56 chances this season.
  • The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they went 3-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Boston and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Tigers Betting Insights

  • Detroit has won 12 of the 26 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.2%).
  • The Tigers have a record of 9-9 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer (50%).
  • Detroit has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 54 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 31 of those games (31-21-2).
  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Detroit and its opponents are 11-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Red Sox vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Nick Pivetta

  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.20, a 6.60 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.067 in six games this season.
  • Nick Pivetta’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1).
  • Pivetta’s team has won three of his six starts this season.
  • In games Pivetta has started this season, the teams are 1-4-1 at hitting the over.

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty

  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.84, with 12.0 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
  • The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Flaherty’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Flaherty’s team has compiled a 4-6 record in his 10 starts.
  • Flaherty’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 10 games.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 28-28
Home 11-15
Road 17-13
One-Run Games 7-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-4

Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 27-28
Home 14-15
Road 13-13
One-Run Games 10-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 19-3

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