Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 18

Tuesday’s contest between the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-37) and Cincinnati Reds (34-38) going head to head at PNC Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Pirates, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 6:40 PM ET on June 18.

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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Reds vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -130 +110 8.5 -103 -126

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 18, or 60%, of the 30 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Reds have been victorious 11 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of 72 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds had a 7-1 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over five times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the moneyline underdog 38 total times this season. It has finished 19-19 in those games.
  • The Pirates have a 12-13 record (winning 48% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • Pittsburgh has played in 72 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-34-4).
  • In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Pirates had a record of 4-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo

  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.93 ERA this season with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 10 games.
  • Nick Lodolo’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-2).
  • Lodolo’s team has won eight of his 10 starts this season.
  • Games started by Lodolo have a 2-7-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • In 13 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 3.86 ERA and 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .229 to opposing hitters.
  • The Pirates are 5-6 in Falter’s 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Falter’s team is 6-7 in his 13 starts.
  • Falter’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in 13 games with a set total this season.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-38
Home 18-19
Road 16-19
One-Run Games 5-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 23-5

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-37
Home 17-17
Road 18-20
One-Run Games 12-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 22-5

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