Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 25

Tuesday’s game between the Cincinnati Reds (37-41) and Pittsburgh Pirates (37-41) matching up at Great American Ball Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Reds, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:10 PM ET on June 25.

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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Reds vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -130 +110 8.5 -120 +100

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has been the favorite in 33 games this season, and has come away with the win 20 times (60.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Reds have come away with a win 12 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 33 of 78 opportunities.
  • The Reds had a 5-2 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Cincinnati combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total three times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 19 of the 41 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.3%).
  • The Pirates have a 12-15 record (winning 44.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • In the 78 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-38-4).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and went 1-4 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 4-11-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Hunter Greene

  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 3.35 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .198.
  • Hunter Greene’s team has won 16.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-5).
  • In games Greene has started, his team is 5-10.
  • In Greene’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

  • In 15 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.11, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .246 against him.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 7-1 in those matchups.
  • Over Keller’s 15 starts, his team is 10-5.
  • Mitch Keller has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those matchups hit the over.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-41
Home 20-21
Road 17-20
One-Run Games 6-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-5

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-41
Home 19-20
Road 18-21
One-Run Games 14-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 22-6

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