Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 26

Wednesday’s contest between the Cincinnati Reds (37-42) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-41) at Great American Ball Park is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Reds coming out on top. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET on June 26.

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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Reds vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -125 +105 10 -110 -110

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has come away with 20 wins in the 34 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Reds have won 15 of 26 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 79 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Cincinnati and its opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 15 games had set totals).

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the underdog on the moneyline 42 total times this season. It has finished 20-22 in those games.
  • The Pirates have gone 16-16 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer (50%).
  • Pittsburgh has played in 79 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-38-4).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.

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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft

  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 5.05 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • Graham Ashcraft has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
  • In games Ashcraft has started, his team is 6-6.
  • In Ashcraft’s 12 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Ortiz

  • In 21 games this season, he has a 3.45 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .242 against him.
  • Luis Ortiz and his team finished 7-7 in the 14 games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • When he pitched in a game last season, his team went 7-8.
  • The games he pitched last season finished over the total set by sportsbooks six times in 15 opportunities.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-42
Home 20-22
Road 17-20
One-Run Games 6-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-6

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-41
Home 19-20
Road 19-21
One-Run Games 14-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 23-6

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