Predictions for Reds vs. Tigers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 6

Saturday’s contest at Great American Ball Park has the Cincinnati Reds (42-46) squaring off against the Detroit Tigers (40-48) at 4:10 PM ET (on July 6). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Reds, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Reds vs. Tigers Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Tigers Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Reds vs. Tigers Betting Lines

Reds vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -161 +136 9 -120 +100

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has been chosen as the favorite in 36 games this year, and has walked away with the win 20 times (55.6%) in those games.
  • This season, the Reds have been victorious three times in five chances when named as a favorite of at least -161 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds played as the moneyline favorite in five of their past 15 games, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Cincinnati and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Tigers Betting Insights

  • Detroit has won 21 of the 48 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (43.8%).
  • The Tigers have a 2-9 record (winning just 18.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
  • Detroit has combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times this season for a 48-36-3 record against the over/under.
  • In nine games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Tigers had a record of 4-5.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Detroit and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Reds vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Hunter Greene

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.70 and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .209 in 17 games this season.
  • Hunter Greene’s team has been victorious in 14.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-6.
  • Greene’s team is 5-12 when he starts this season.
  • Games Greene has started this season hit the over seven times in 17 chances.

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Alex Faedo

  • In 23 games this season, he has a 3.35 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .223 against him.
  • Faedo’s team went 3-9 in games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • He helped his team to a win in 3 of the 12 games he appeared in last season.
  • The games he pitched went over the run total set by sportsbooks in seven of 12 opportunities last season.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-46
Home 20-24
Road 22-22
One-Run Games 8-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-6

Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-48
Home 19-22
Road 21-26
One-Run Games 14-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-5

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