Predictions for Tigers vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7

Sunday’s game features the Cincinnati Reds (42-47) and the Detroit Tigers (41-48) matching up at Great American Ball Park in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Reds according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 1:40 PM ET on July 7.

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Tigers vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Tigers vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Tigers vs. Reds Betting Lines

Tigers vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Tigers -135 +114 8.5 -104 -125

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • Detroit has been victorious in 18, or 47.4%, of the 38 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Tigers have a win-loss record of 13-7 when favored by -135 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 48 of 88 opportunities.
  • The Tigers went 2-4 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Detroit and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 22 of the 51 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (43.1%).
  • The Reds have gone 13-14 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer (48.1%).
  • Cincinnati has played in 89 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-47-4).
  • In nine games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Reds had a record of 6-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Tigers vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 2.45, a 5.95 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .932.
  • Tarik Skubal’s team has a record of 9-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Skubal’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts this season.
  • Out of Skubal’s 17 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft

  • During 14 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 5.45 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .279 to his opponents.
  • The Reds have a 4-5 record in Ashcraft’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Ashcraft’s team has a 7-7 record in his 14 starts.
  • Ashcraft’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 10 of 14 games.

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Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 41-48
Home 19-22
Road 22-26
One-Run Games 14-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-5

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-47
Home 20-25
Road 22-22
One-Run Games 8-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-6

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