Predictions for Royals vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 25

Tuesday’s game that pits the Kansas City Royals (43-37) versus the Miami Marlins (27-51) at Kauffman Stadium has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Royals, who are a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. First pitch is at 8:10 PM on June 25.

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Royals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Royals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 4, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Royals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Royals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Royals -192 +160 9.5 -112 -108

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Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has been chosen as the favorite in 30 games this year, and has walked away with the win 20 times (66.7%) in those games.
  • The Royals have yet to lose in five games when named as moneyline favorite of -192 or better.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of 80 opportunities.
  • The Royals went 2-3 over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Kansas City and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami is 24-39 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.1% of those games).
  • The Marlins have a 3-13 record (winning only 18.8% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +160 or longer.
  • Miami has played in 78 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-36-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Royals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

  • The 34-year-old has pitched to a 2.42 ERA this season with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • Seth Lugo’s team is 5-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Lugo’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts this season.
  • In Lugo’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Yonny Chirinos

  • In his one game this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of .348 against him. He has a 3.60 ERA and averages 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for one Yonny Chirinos start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Chirinos’ only start with a total this season went under.

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Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-37
Home 26-14
Road 17-23
One-Run Games 12-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-11

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 27-51
Home 16-27
Road 11-24
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 15-9

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