Predictions for Royals vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 3

Wednesday’s contest at Kauffman Stadium has the Kansas City Royals (47-40) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (43-42) at 8:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 win for the Royals, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Royals vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Royals vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Royals vs. Rays Betting Lines

Royals vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
PUSH -110 -110 8 -108 -112

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Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has been the favorite in 35 games this season, and has come away with the win 23 times (65.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Royals have been victorious 24 times in 37 chances when named as a favorite of at least -110 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Royals had a 5-4 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Kansas City and its opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has gone 16-21 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.2% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -110 or longer, the Rays have a record of 16-21 (43.2%).
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 42 times this season for a 42-41-2 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and went 6-4 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Royals vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha

  • The 33-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with a 3.91 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .253.
  • Michael Wacha’s team has a record of 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Wacha’s team has won six of his 14 starts this season.
  • In games Wacha has started this season, the teams are 5-9-0 at hitting the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot

  • The 26-year-old has amassed a 4.40 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .205 to opposing batters.
  • The Rays have a 1-3 record in Pepiot’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Pepiot’s 14 starts, his team is 7-7.
  • Ryan Pepiot has started 14 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

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Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-40
Home 30-17
Road 17-23
One-Run Games 13-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-11

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-42
Home 23-25
Road 20-17
One-Run Games 16-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-6

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