Russell Wilson Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

The Seattle Seahawks are going to remain a run-first team, and they sure are proud of it. This certainly doesn’t help the upside Russell Wilson heading into 2019. He was the QB1 back in 2017, and dropped to QB10 in 2018. We take a dive into his current value and whether it could potentially move over the next few months. The receiving core isn’t as strong, and we will see how D.K. Metcalf can help out. Was Wilson’s 2018 the beginning of more to come? We shall see.

2018 Fantasy Recap

298 3,448 216 1 65.6% 8.1 12.3 35 7 109.1 19.1

2018 wasn’t a bad one, and in fact it was about in line with his career norm. The one downside was the fact he had zero rushing touchdowns, which certainly would have had him up the rankings a bit. Wilson’s touchdowns were able to carry the fact he had the third lowest passing yards in his career. This is a concern given those were ages 24 and 25 when he first entered the league. This also tied into the fact he had the third lowest passing attempts in his career. Doug Baldwin was out for most of the year, and the offensive line play was bad once again. He had the highest sack rate in his career. Wilson continues to produce solid fantasy seasons despite not having the pieces and play-calling around him to succeed at times.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Position Ranking ADP Auction Value Bye Week Completions Attempts Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Interceptions Rushing Yards Rushing Touchdowns
QB9 8.02 $30 11 313.1 488.8 3,765 28.4 9.8 409.0 2.2

Russell Wilson’s weekly ceiling was a bit limited, but when all was said and done he was a top ten quarterback. Wilson’s potential to climb back up to 2018 rankings is slim to none. The offensive line still isn’t going to help him in 2019, and losing Doug Baldwin is a hit, despite drafting D.K. Metcalf. The attempts are far below most quarterback inside the top 15 for projections, and we will have to rely on efficiency and the legs of Wilson to get us there. A fall back closer to 27-28 touchdowns is certainly in his range of outcomes, which would be merely average for fantasy production at the position.

With the play style of Seattle, he is going to flirt with these projections and that isn’t enticing when you look at the names around him. A low-end QB1 is now what Wilson projects, and his value will be completely determined by your draft. There are question marks about the surrounding receiving options, so a lot is up in the air.

Draft & Auction Value

The 7th-8th round is where Russell Wilson is going for the most part at the minute, and sharp draftees are going to be off him even in his range. Anything later is where I would feel comfortable taking a shot on Wilson. The week-to-week consistency is something that could lack again, and at quarterback I don’t want that. Auction leagues you might be able to get him at a lower price than advertised. The general consensus on Wilson’s 2019 production echoes what I have mentioned above. Wilson isn’t a priority for me, and you shouldn’t feel bad if you miss out because someone reaches.

Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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