The 6-3 Seattle Seahawks are on the road this week to take on the 3-6 Los Angeles Rams for the second time this year. Check out odds, predictions, and best bets for this NFC West rivalry below.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams Preview & Prediction
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams Prediction & Best Bet: Seahawks ML
These two teams faced off to start the season and have gone in opposite directions. The Rams took down the Seahawks in a convincing way, outperforming them on both sides of the ball, while the Seahawks looked like they didn’t have their heads screwed on straight. Seattle has battled back to 6-3 and the top of the NFC West since then, while the Rams enter this game having dropped three straight. This is a must-win for both teams as Seattle enters a challenging next four games (49ers, Cowboys, 49ers, Eagles) and Los Angeles looks to stay ahead of the Cardinals in the NFC West.
Matthew Stafford is the big question mark in this game. He sustained a sprained UCL in his throwing hand in their Week 8 loss to Dallas, forcing Brett Rypien to start in Week 9. The Rams got some reprieve with a Week 10 bye, and Stafford is expected to start this week versus Seattle. He likely won’t be fully healthy this week, and Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua have been quiet in their last few games. The running back room hasn’t been all that dynamic, and they are averaging less than 20 points per game this season, so offensively, this team isn’t in a great position.
Defensively, Los Angeles ranks 18th in pass defense DVOA and 25th in rush defense DVOA, but in their Week 1 performance versus Seattle, the Rams held the Hawks to 95 passing yards and 85 ground yards.
For as talented as Seattle looks at times, they need to play that way consistently if they want to compete with San Francisco in the NFC West. At 6-3, they are surviving but have the most challenging stretch of their season on the horizon and need to churn out a win before then. This offense ranks 14th in DVOA – a four-spot drop from where they were ranked just one week ago – and ninth in rush offense EPA and pass offense DVOA. Geno Smith should be able to get the ball going and keep mistakes to a minimum against a mediocre Rams pass defense that ranks 25th in defensive pressure rate.
Seattle’s defense is an enigma. While their secondary is full of star power between rookie Devon Witherspoon, Tariq Woolen, Jamal Adams, and Quandre Diggs, they rank 23rd in pass defense DVOA and 20th in opponent completion percentage. They’ll be up against one of the best wide receiver duos in the league, which should provide some good matchups.
Seattle is the more talented team here. However, I also said that in Week 1. These two teams always play competitively, so the 1-point spread here makes sense despite the discrepancies. Either way, Seattle wakes up here and gets revenge for the Week 1 disaster. Take Seattle to win outright.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams Betting Odds
This line has seen some movement over the last week. The Seahawks moved from 2.5 to 1-point favorites in this division rivalry game. Moneyline odds are near-even with the Hawks at -115 and Los Angeles at -105. The over/under is 46 points.
While Matthew Stafford is expected to play, his quality of play is certainly in question. The Rams’ offense is still down their favorite running back, Kyren Williams, who is not expected to return until next week.
The big news in Seattle is the potential return of right tackle Abraham Lucas. Lucas has not played since the Week 1 game versus the Rams but came off the IR on Wednesday. His status for the game is questionable.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams Key Matchups
See below the key matchups and mismatches for the Seahawks vs. Rams game.
Seahawks pass rush vs. Rams pass protection
The Seahawks defensive line has been a pleasant surprise this year. Boye Mafe has set a franchise record with seven straight games with a sack. He is complemented by midseason acquisitions Frank Clark and Leonard Williams, both versatile veterans who are effective against both the run and the pass. Along with Jarran Reed and Dre’Mont Jones, this pass-rushing unit ranks 12th in pressure rate and fourth in total sacks.
This Rams offensive line has protected Stafford pretty well this season, most notably against Seattle in Week 1, where they allowed zero sacks and two QB hits. On the season, they’ve allowed the seventh-lowest pressure rate on Stafford (17.9%) despite being blitzed the seventh-most (94 times).
These units are dark horses among their position groups in the league and match up well. This should be an entertaining battle in the trenches.
Seahawks secondary vs. Rams receivers
There will be considerable star power down the field when Seattle is on defense, and Los Angeles is on offense. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua will face off against Devon Witherspoon, Tariq Woolen, Quandre Diggs, and Jamal Adams. The Hawks rank ninth in passing touchdown percentage and seventh in passes defended. However, they still give up a lot of completions and yards to opposing offenses and have the second-highest third down conversion percentage on defense (45.5%).
Even though Matthew Stafford is not at full health, there is no doubt that Nacua and Kupp can and will make things happen when they can. Nacua and Kupp are one of two receiving duos in the league that are both in the top 20 in terms of yards per game, and when they are on, they’re very threatening.