Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Player Props & Picks (12/10/23)

Get Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers player prop picks & odds for the (12/10/23) matchup.

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Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Picks

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers kicks off this Sunday at 4:05pm EST in Santa Clara California as a home game for the 49ers. The Seahawks are currently a +11 underdog and +460 on the moneyline while the total is set at 47. Expect Geno Smith to keep this game close while Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy try to pull away, all giving value as player props for this Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers matchup.

Geno Smith Over 242.5 Passing Yards

After putting together a magical run last year, Geno Smith has struggled to recapture that magic this season. He has battled through numerous injuries as well as injuries to his skill players and offensive line. It also doesn’t help that well coached defenses now have tape on how to scheme against him, bringing him back to reality after playing at a high level.

Success may be tough to come by this time around on paper as the 49ers coverage ranks third in Def Pass DVOA, sixth in Def Pass Success Rate, and third in Def Pass EPA, but the Seahawks have the tools to disrupt their elite coverage. Especially with health finally falling their way, getting back offensive tackle Abraham Lucas who gives them a major boost in their blocking.

Better yet for their hopes of airing out the ball, rookie sensation Jaxon Smith-Njigba has carved out a role as a true go to threat. That gives the Seahawks three viable options running out in the open field, stretching out the 49ers coverage to the point it opens up gaps. Should Geno get any sort of support from their running backs that helps suck the defense inside the hashes, then expect Geno to find more success through the air this time around.

Brock Purdy Over 256.5 Passing Yards

With Geno Smith potentially keeping the Seahawks within scoring pace, that forces Brock Purdy to also air it out in what may be a tight contest. Should he do so, he will continue to find immediate success against a very weak Seahawks secondary. In a run-heavy blow out scheme, Purdy still managed to throw for 209 yards in a very efficient outing.

Defending the pass has been a problem for the Seahawks all season long, even with the addition of star rookie cornerback Devon Witherspoon. His efforts alone have not been enough for them to overcome their lack of inconsistencies as the Seahawks backend as a whole rank 26th in Def Pass DVOA, 25th in Def Pass Success Rate, and 20th in Def Pass EPA.

Not only have the Seahawks struggled in coverage, but converting their high rate of pressure into sacks has been an issue as well. The Seahawks front four ranks sixth in Pressure Rate yet 26th in Def Adjusted Sack Rate. With minimal interior pressure, Purdy should be able to sit back and continue to lead the most efficient pass attack in football.

Brock Purdy Over 28.5 Pass Attempts

This prop heavily correlates to the previously mentioned prop as Brock Purdy should face minimal pressure while leading the 49ers hyper efficient pass attack. Especially if either Jamal Adams or Jordyn Brooks are unable to give it a go as both are listed as questionable and would be a massive loss to their defensive production.

Since getting back to full health on offense with the return of Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel, the 49ers pass attack has been a force to be reckoned with. As a whole they bring an elite blend of efficiency and explosiveness, ranking first in Pass DVOA, first in Pass Success Rate, and first in Pass EPA.

Christian McCaffrey Over 114.5 Rush + Rec Yards

A direct recipient to the ground attack and a massive playmaker in the pass attack, Christian McCaffrey is in a position to put up video type numbers against the weak Seahawks defense. Especially against a blitz heavy unit, making them vulnerable should he reach the outside with plenty of open field to work with.

Like their previously mentioned defensive pass metrics, the ground game has also been a struggle as the Seahawks rank 19th in Def Rush DVOA, 17th in Def Rush Success Rate, and 28th in Def Rush EPA. Whether it’s from the run or from screens and dump offs, expect McCaffrey to continue to build a case as the Offensive Player of the Year.

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Kody is a sports betting writer here at Lineups. He specializes in college sports as well as the NFL and NBA. He won’t quit believing in the Lions Super Bowl chances even when they are eliminated.

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