In another episode of European games, the Seattle Seahawks and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet in Munich to mark the NFL’s Germany debut. Both teams are entering this game off a win against NFC West teams, which helped to further establish the Seahawks as the leader in their division. The Buccaneers’ win over the Rams also secured them the first place spot in the NFC South.
The Seahawks are looking to jump to an impressive 7-3 on the season while the Buccaneers will look to jump to .500 before both teams head into Week 11 byes. Read on for odds, predictions, analysis, injuries, depth charts, and more.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Analysis & Prediction
What’s in the water in Seattle? The Seahawks are on a four-game winning streak and Geno Smith is a favorite for the MVP award.
Seattle has one of the most balanced teams in the league right now. They’ve got their passing game down to an art, with Geno Smith still leading the league in completion percentage (73.1%) and boasting a 107.2 passer rating (third best). They’ve got rookie Kenneth Walker orchestrating a dominant running game and a once-struggling defense now leading the league in total yards against (272) over the last three games. They are fifth in the league in total DVOA at 16.8%.
Tampa Bay has been particularly vulnerable against the run lately which opens the door for Walker to see more carries this week. The Bucs defense has been much better against the pass but they’ll be busy this week trying to contain DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Geno Smith who’s been near-perfect in his passing this year. Not to mention, this Seahawks team is averaging the fourth-most points per game (26.8).
We saw a glimpse of the real Tom Brady in the Bucs’ win last week as the veteran quarterback led a 60-yard game-winning drive in 35 seconds. They snapped a three-game losing streak and this week, will look to string together their first win streak since Week 2.
Don’t be deceived by the final result as the Bucs performance on Sunday was a far cry from perfection. Brady threw for 280 yards on 58 attempts and just one touchdown, which came in crunch time on the last drive. Despite having great receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, this team has strung together just three passing touchdowns in the last four games. Seattle’s young defense will have their work cut out for them this week against some talented veterans like Evans, Godwin, and Leonard Fournette, though the Bucs running game is in somewhat of a desperate state right now.
The Bucs continued their same struggles last week, but they also saw a Tom Brady spark – albeit for 35 seconds – and that might be enough to give them momentum heading into this week, but the Seahawks have four times that momentum. They are much more well-rounded on both sides of the ball right now, which gives them a leg up on this unpredictable Buccaneers team. The Bucs won’t fold easy, but I’m calling a Seahawks upset here and a five-game Seattle win streak heading into their bye.
My prediction: Seahawks win 27-21, Seahawks cover, over 44.5
Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Odds
Despite the trajectory of these two teams as of late, oddsmakers are still giving Tom Brady and the Buccaneers the edge as near-field goal favorites in this neutral site matchup. Brady is no stranger to the international game tradition as he’s 3-0 across the pond, albeit with the Patriots, while the Seahawks are 1-0.
The Buccaneers have struggled unexpectedly this year which has resulted in an ATS record of 2-6-1 and a 2-7 record on hitting over the projected total. Seattle is on the opposite end of the spectrum, having found a lot more success than oddsmakers expected bringing them to 6-3 ATS (fourth best). In the six games that they covered the spread, they were the underdog in five of them.
- Seahawks are 6-3 ATS overall, 5-2 ATS as the underdog
- Buccaneers are 2-6-1 ATS overall and as the favorite
- Over is 0-3 for the Buccaneers after a win
- Over is 4-3 for the Seahawks as the underdog
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injuries: Antoine Winfield (Q), Luke Goedeke (Q), Russell Gage (Q)
Seattle Seahawks Injuries: Marquise Goodwin (Q)
Buccaneers offensive line vs. Seahawks defense
The Bucs offensive line has given up the fifth-fewest sacks in the league (14), which is grounds for applause, though it helps to have the quarterback with the fastest release time in the league. But this Tampa Bay running game is in desperate need of more help from their offensive line, though it has yet to get as much. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have tallied 27 sacks this year (fourth best), five of which came last week in Arizona. Uchenna Nwosu and Shelby Harris have established themselves as lethal pass rushing threats for Seattle, and should give this offensive line some stiff competition.
Kenneth Walker vs. Buccaneers run defense
Walker is now the favorite to win OROY, to no surprise. He will have a chance to add to his impressive resume this week against a Tampa Bay run defense which allows more than 125 yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry. Against a run-heavy Ravens team, they forfeited 231 rushing yards. To make matters worse for the Bucs, they are down veteran linebacker Shaquil Barrett who went down with a torn achilles in their game against Baltimore.