The 6-5 Seattle Seahawks are on the road to face the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys for Thursday Night Football this week. There are playoff implications here for Seattle, while Dallas is looking to add a fourth game to their win streak. Check out odds, predictions, and best bets for this NFC West rivalry below.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys Preview & Prediction
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction & Best Bet: Over 47 points
After a promising few games, Seattle had arguably its worst performance last week on Thanksgiving. It needs little recap except that San Francisco outperformed them in virtually every way. It doesn’t get any easier this week when facing one of the hottest teams in the league, the Dallas Cowboys.
Dak Prescott is playing some of the best football of his career. He and his offense have outscored their opponents 127-37 over their last three games. Granted, those three games were against the Panthers, Giants, and Commanders, so it is relative.
The Dallas defense has also played outstanding this year, specifically their secondary and pass defense, which ranks sixth in pass defense DVOA and fourth in success rate. They are more exploitable against teams who can run the ball – they are 31st in the league in rush defense success rate – but that’s only relevant if Kenneth Walker plays this week, and as of now, it doesn’t look like he will be. If he does, I would consider taking the Seahawks’ spread.
The Cowboys are 5-0 on their turf. Although they’ve beaten every team at home by 20 points or more, their home schedule has also arguably been among the easiest: Jets, Patriots, Rams, Giants, and Commanders. They are ranked 32nd in strength of schedule through Week 12. Seattle is a step up in competition but likely not enough to overcome a hot Cowboys team.
The over seems like the call here. We know Dallas will put points on the board – they are the top-scoring offense in the league right now and are averaging just over 42 points per game over their last three games, which practically covers the over in itself. Seattle is in the middle of the pack in terms of points per game, averaging just over 20. Despite their inconsistency, there is still loads of talent on the Seattle roster that can lend itself to points on the board. I have very little doubt that the Seahawks will be able to score some points, how many, is another question all together, which is why I’m staying away from the spread, especially with Walker listed as doubtful to play.
I know that the under on primetime is the popular bet this year, but Dallas is 6-1 hitting the over after a win and 4-1 at home, and Seattle is 3-1 hitting the over after a loss. Seattle has also had an entire week to prepare for this game, having played on Thursday last week. I’m taking the over.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds
Dallas is a heavy 9-point favorite over the Hawks here, and the over/under is 47 points.
Ceahawks vs Cowboys Key Injuries
Kenneth Walker is the big question mark this week, as he sat out with an oblique injury last week. He is currently listed as doubtful to play. Otherwise, it is expected that right tackle Abraham Lucas will return this week for Thursday’s game.
In Dallas, Peyton Hendershot is still listed on the injured reserve despite participating fully in practice this week.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys Key Matchups
See below the key matchups and mismatches for the Seahawks vs. Cowboys game.
Seahawks running backs vs. Dallas run defense
For Seattle, utilizing their running game will be their best bet at moving downfield and putting points on the board. Dallas ranks 22nd in opponent rush play percentage and 31st in rush defense success rate. The Seahawks offensive line ranks 14th in adjusted line yards, so Zach Charbonnet are in a good position to move the ball.
Charbonnet has shown a lot of promise over the last few weeks, though the potential absence of Kenneth Walker hits this offense hard. This could be a big mismatch or a great matchup.
CeeDee Lamb vs. Seahawks secondary
CeeDee Lamb accounts for over 35% of Dallas’ air yards this season while posting a 75% catch rate. He’s also hauled in a touchdown in his last three games, and he and Dak Prescott have become two of the best QB-WR duos in the league.
When targeted, Riq Woolen and Devon Witherspoon are tied for the 11th and 26th lowest completion percentages in the league. Witherspoon ranks third in the league in passes defended with 14. They are among the fastest and most physical in their position group but are facing the benchmark of receiving talent this week against Lamb.