Get Seahawks vs. Rams player prop picks & odds for the (11/19/23) matchup
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Seahawks vs. Rams Player Prop Picks
The Los Angeles Rams (3-6) host their NFC West rivals the Seattle Seahawks (6-3) this Sunday (11/19/23) at 4:25pm ET. The Rams beat the Seahawks in Seattle in week 1, but the ‘Hawks are still slight road favorites this time at -1 against the spread. Let’s take a look at the betting odds for player prop bets in this game and pick the best Seahawks vs. Rams player prop bets in this week 11 matchup.
Zach Charbonnet over 27.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
After a slow start to his rookie season, Zach Charbonnet has been getting more and more involved in the Seahawks’ offense. He has out-snapped starter Kenneth Walker II in three consecutive games and has been productive when he’s been on the field. He’s averaging 7 yards per carry over his last 3 games, which included tough matchups against the Browns and Ravens defenses.
Charbonnet has at least 30 rushing yards in 4 of his last 6 games and has gone over his rushing yards prop line in 3 of the last 5 (he was off the books in the first game of that stretch).
The Rams have struggled to defend the run this season. They are 22nd in rushing yards allowed per game (122.8) and 25th in DVOA against the run. It’s also worth noting that they are allowing the fewest receiving yards to opposing RBs this season at just 17.8 per game, so focusing on the rushing yards is the way to go if you’re betting on a RB prop bet against the Rams. They have allowed a RB to go over his rushing yards prop line in 6 of their last 8 games.
Walker will still get the majority of rushing attempts for the Seahawks, but the way this backfield has been trending, we love the chances for Charbonnet to get more than enough of a workload in this game to gain at least 28 rushing yards.
It’s worth noting that the best odds on this prop bet right now are at FanDuel, where the line is not only 1 yard lower than other sportsbooks but also has the best odds at -114 compared to -120 or lower in the rest of the market.
DK Metcalf over 65.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel)
We should start this analysis by pointing out that a big part of the reason for this pick is the hamstring injury to Tyler Lockett. After missing all 3 practices this week, Lockett is looking like a long shot to suit up this week, but he is officially listed as questionable. We like this bet whether he plays or not, but especially if he misses the game.
Metcalf has been somewhat quiet this season compared to the last few years, but he is still averaging 69 yards per game. He has gone over his player prop line in 5 of his 8 games this season and has at least 66 yards in 3 of his last 4 games. He has been targeted heavily over the last 3 games with 30 total targets including two games with 12 or more.
The Rams’ defense has been about average against the pass this season. They are 14th overall against the pass, 18th in DVOA and 23rd in EPA. They also could be missing one of their starting corners, Cobie Durant, who was limited in practice all week with a shoulder injury. Durant plays primarily in the slot, though he has played most of his snaps out wide over the last 3 weeks.
It’s worth noting that we would also like a player prop bet for Jaxon Smith-Njigba in this game, especially if Lockett and/or Durant end up missing the game. The talented rookie receiver has played the most snaps in the slot for the Seahawks this season and would not only see an increased role if Lockett misses the game, but would also have an easier matchup if Durant misses it.
However, as of this writing there are no player prop odds available for Smith-Njigba, so we’ll focus on Metcalf as one of the best player prop bets in this game.