Stanford vs Oregon (10/1/22): Odds, Picks, Predictions

Stanford visits Oregon after losing to Washington this past weekend in a game that was not close. Oregon is also coming off a come from behind win against Washington State. These games are always close, especially after last year when Oregon was upset by Stanford too. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!

Stanford vs. Oregon Odds

Oregon comes into the game as a 16.5-point favorite and also are -730 on the money line. The over/under sits at 62.5 too. The spread makes sense here because Stanford has not been very good this year and has struggled, while Oregon has been a little inconsistent they still are the better team here too. The over/under seems a little too high here, but oddsmakers are banking on an Oregon blowout. Oregon also does have the better offense here too.

Stanford vs. Oregon Prediction & Pick

The pick: Oregon -16.5

The spread here may seem like a lot, but the smart move is to go with Oregon here. Stanford has been struggling to start the year and it seems like a bad spot here to try and rebound in Oregon. Stanford’s only win since last year when they upset Oregon was against Colgate in Week 1 of this year. The defense has been one of the major issues this year with it giving up 41 and 40 points each in the last two games. Tanner McKee is a decent quarterback and E.J. Smith has picked up the rushing load at running back for the Cardinal, but outside of those two it’s difficult to see any bright spots so far for Stanford. Oregon, however, has rebounded well since getting blown out by Georgia in Week 1.

They racked up an easy win against an FCS foe, then had a statement win against BYU, and then just recently, they had a come back win against Washington State. The main reason why they’ve been able to right the ship starts with Bo Nix, who’s had a very good season so far, while also having Bucky Irving at running back and Troy Franklin at wide receiver. I love Oregon here, Stanford is in for a very long year this year, and I don’t see them winning against the Ducks two years in a row.

Stanford vs. Oregon Key Matchups

How is Bo Nix going to hold up against this Stanford secondary? Will the Ducks be able to slow down Tanner McKee? Check out the key matchups and mismatches for Standofrd vs Oregon below.

Bo Nix vs the Stanford Passing Defense

Bo Nix is a bit of a head scratcher when it comes to quarterback play. He’s had games where he was very good and he’s also had games where he’s looked lost. It did not start out well against Georgia where he threw two interceptions and had just over 170 passing yards. Since then, He’s only had one interception since and he threw for over 420 yards just last game too. Stanford’s passing defense has been shredded with USC throwing for over 340 yards and Washington throwing for over 300 yards. Bo Nix has been very inconsistent in his career, but this matchup could decide the game if he can get a rhythm going. Good Bo Nix could show here in this game.

Tanner McKee vs the Oregon Passing Defense

E.J. Smith was looking like he could be a difference maker and a bright spot for Stanford this year, but he’s injured and out for the year. Now, the majority of Stanford’s offense rests on Tanner McKee’s shoulders and the passing game. He’s passed for 841 yards on the year so far, while also having six touchdowns and four interceptions. He also has a completion percentage of 67% on the year so far. His best game this year was against an FCS foe where he threw over 308 yards, and his next closest was 286 yards against USC, but a lot of those yards came in garbage time. Oregon’s pass defense, on the other side, hasn’t been the best, and has given up over 300 yards in three of their four games so far this year, with Cameron Ward throwing the most last game at 375 yards. If McKee can take advantage, Stanford will have a big opportunity in this game.