Stars vs. Oilers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 1

The first game of the Stanley Cup Semifinals will see the Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers square off on Thursday, May 23, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT, truTV, Max, SportsNet, CBC, and TVAS. The Oilers are underdogs (+110) in this game against the Stars (-130).

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Here’s our prediction for who will capture the win in this Stanley Cup Semifinals contest.

Stars vs. Oilers Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final result of Stars 4, Oilers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-130)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Oilers (+1.5)

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 52-21-9 overall and 14-10-24 in overtime contests.
  • Dallas is 23-9-8 (54 points) in its 40 games decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the 11 times this season the Stars ended a game with only one goal, they have a 2-8-1 record, good for five points.
  • Dallas has finished 6-3-3 in the 12 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 15 points).
  • The Stars are 52-10-6 in the 68 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 110 points).
  • In the 36 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 24-9-3 to record 51 points.
  • In the 57 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 39-13-5 (83 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 34 times, and went 20-9-5 (45 points).

Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers have a 49-27-6 record this season and are 11-7-18 in matchups that have needed overtime.
  • Edmonton has earned 40 points (17-6-6) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Oilers registered only one goal in eight games and they’ve earned two points (1-7-0) in those contests.
  • Edmonton has 15 points (5-7-5) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Oilers have earned 104 points in their 66 games with three or more goals scored.
  • Edmonton has scored a lone power-play goal in 37 games this season and has registered 54 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Edmonton has posted a record of 40-18-6 (86 points).
  • The Oilers’ opponents have had more shots in 28 games. The Oilers finished 17-10-1 in those contests (35 points).

Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Oilers AVG Oilers Rank
3rd 3.59 Goals Scored 3.56 4th
8th 2.83 Goals Allowed 2.88 10th
11th 31.6 Shots 33.8 1st
7th 28.7 Shots Allowed 28.1 5th
6th 24.17% Power Play % 26.34% 4th
8th 82.01% Penalty Kill % 79.46% 15th

Stars vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, May 23, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT, truTV, Max, SportsNet, CBC, and TVAS
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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