Stars vs. Oilers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 5

Friday will see the Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers meet in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals at American Airlines Center, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The series is tied up 2-2. Bookmakers give the Stars -125 moneyline odds in this game against the Oilers (+105).

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Here is our pick for who will capture the victory in this Stanley Cup Semifinals contest.

Stars vs. Oilers Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final result of Stars 4, Oilers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-125)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Oilers (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars (52-21-9 overall) have a 14-11-25 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Dallas is 23-9-9 (55 points) in its 41 games decided by one goal.
  • The 11 times this season the Stars finished a game with only one goal, they went 2-8-1 (five points).
  • Dallas has finished 6-4-4 in the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 16 points).
  • The Stars are 54-10-6 in the 70 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 114 points).
  • In the 36 games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 24-9-3 to record 51 points.
  • In the 57 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 39-13-5 (83 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 38 games, going 22-10-6 to record 50 points.

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers have posted a record of 12-7-19 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall mark of 49-27-6.
  • Edmonton has earned 42 points (18-6-6) in its 30 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Oilers registered only one goal in nine games and they’ve earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
  • Edmonton has 15 points (5-7-5) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Oilers have scored more than two goals in 69 games, earning 108 points from those contests.
  • Edmonton has scored a single power-play goal in 37 games this season and has recorded 54 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Edmonton is 42-20-6 (90 points).
  • The Oilers have been outshot by opponents in 28 games, going 17-10-1 to record 35 points.

Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Oilers AVG Oilers Rank
3rd 3.59 Goals Scored 3.56 4th
8th 2.83 Goals Allowed 2.88 10th
11th 31.6 Shots 33.8 1st
7th 28.7 Shots Allowed 28.1 5th
6th 24.17% Power Play % 26.34% 4th
8th 82.01% Penalty Kill % 79.46% 15th

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Stars vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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