Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – June 16

A pair of the WNBA‘s best scorers face off — Jewell Loyd (fifth, 20.2 points per game) and Kahleah Copper (third, 23.5) — when the Seattle Storm (9-4) visit the Phoenix Mercury (6-7) on June 16, 2024 on ABC.

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Spread: Storm (+3.5) to Cover

  • The model projects the Storm to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (5.7 to 3.5).
  • So far this season, the Storm have put together a 9-4-0 record against the spread.
  • Seattle has a 6-2 record against the spread in games it was favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
  • So far this season, the Mercury have compiled an 8-5-0 record against the spread.
  • In games this year in which it was an underdog by 3.5 points or more, Phoenix has a 5-3 record against the spread.

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Total: Under 166

  • The model predicts a total 1.4 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
  • This season, the Storm games have finished over 166 points scored, their current matchup’s total, six (out of 13) times.
  • Phoenix’s games have gone over 166 total points scored in seven of 13 total matchups this year.
  • The Storm have hit the over in six of their 13 games with a set total (46.2%).
  • The teams have hit the over in six of the Mercury’s 13 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Storm (-161)

  • Prediction: Storm 85, Mercury 79
  • Seattle has won eight of the 11 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (72.7%).

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Storm Leaders

  • The Storm scoring leader is Loyd, who averages 20.2 per contest to go with six rebounds and 3.7 assists.
  • Ezi Magbegor leads Seattle in rebounding, averaging 9.5 per game, while Skylar Diggins-Smith leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 5.8 in each contest.
  • Loyd makes more threes per game than any other member of the Storm, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.5 per contest.
  • The Seattle steals leader is Loyd, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Magbegor, who compiles 2.9 rejections per contest.

Storm Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
MacKenzie Holmes Out For Season Knee

Mercury Leaders

  • Copper is the top scorer for the Mercury with 23.5 points per game. She also adds 4.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game to her statistics.
  • The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Natasha Mack with 6.3 rebounds per game (she also adds 3.9 points and 1.8 assists per game) and Natasha Cloud with 7.5 assists per game (she also tacks on 11.1 points and 4.6 rebounds per game).
  • Copper is reliable from deep and leads the Mercury with 2.8 made threes per game.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Cloud with 1.8 per game, and its leader in blocks is Mack with two per game.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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