Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – May 28

The Connecticut Sun (5-0) will be trying to build on a three-game home winning run when squaring off against the Phoenix Mercury (3-2) on May 28, 2024 at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

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Spread: Sun (+7.5) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this game has the Sun favored by 7.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (9.9 points).
  • The Sun are 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • Connecticut is 0-1 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • So far this year, the Mercury have put together a 3-2-0 record against the spread.
  • In games it has played as at least a 7.5-point underdog this year, Phoenix is 2-0 against the spread.

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Total: Over 167.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.4 points lower than the model projection.
  • The Sun and their opponent have combined to score over 167.5 points, the current matchup’s total, twice this year.
  • Four of Phoenix’s five games this season have had more than 167.5 total points scored.
  • Four of the Sun’s five games with a set total have hit the over (80%).
  • The teams have hit the over in three of the Mercury’s five games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Sun (-340)

  • Prediction: Sun 91, Mercury 81
  • Connecticut has not yet lost when playing as a moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0.

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Sun Leaders

  • The leader in rebounds and assists for the Sun is Alyssa Thomas, who pulls down 9.6 boards and distributes 7.8 assists per game to go with a 15.4 PPG scoring average.
  • DeWanna Bonner is Connecticut’s leading scorer, tallying 20.6 per game while tacking on 5.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
  • Tyasha Harris leads the Sun in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • The Connecticut steals leader is Bonner, who averages 2.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Olivia Nelson-Ododa, who compiles 1.0 block per contest.

Mercury Leaders

  • Kahleah Copper puts up 29.2 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mercury.
  • The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Natasha Mack with 7.2 rebounds per game (she also adds 4.2 points and 3.6 assists per game) and Natasha Cloud with 8.8 assists per game (she also tacks on 11.0 points and 5.2 rebounds per game).
  • Diana Taurasi is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Mercury, hitting 3.8 threes per game.
  • Cloud (2.0 steals per game) is the steal leader for Phoenix while Mack (2.4 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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