Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns battle Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors this Tuesday (10/24/23). Get Suns vs. Warriors player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.
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Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop Picks
Which players can crush their player props in the Suns vs. Warriors matchup?
Jusuf Nurkic Over 9.5 Points (-120 Bet365)
Jusuf Nurkic won’t hoard touches with Devin Booker and Kevin Durant on the roster, but he’s efficient with the basketball. Nurkic posted a 51.9 FG% and 36.1 3PT% last season, and the “Bosnian Beast” owns a good matchup here. Kevon Looney is undersized, so Nurkic can get his shots off without worrying too much about being blocked. Phoenix’s elite three-point shooters mean Golden State cannot help inside too. Therefore, Nurkic can initiate a few of his beloved post ups and score via avenue as well.
Nurkic can also secure opportunistic points on the glass through offensive rebounding, which grants him easy points. He likely scores four to six points alone via put-backs, which would mean Nurkic needs just a few baskets to reach ten points. Finally, Golden State led the NBA in pace last year, and Phoenix is willing to run. More possessions equals more scoring opportunities for Nurkic. Plus, with Beal out, the Suns will need Nurkic to get going here.
He needs to score 10 points about 54 percent of the time based on the odds.
Klay Thompson Under 4.5 3PM (-165 DK)
Klay Thompson could hit the over in the first quarter, or he could shoot 2 for 12 from deep. It’s difficult to judge his three-point prop, but two factors indicate the under here. First, Draymond Green is out due to injury. Green’s screening routinely opens up space for Thompson, and his passing frequently creates shot attempts for the three-point sniper. Therefore, Green’s absence will likely hurt Thompson’s volume here. Second, Thompson will be guarded by Josh Okogie, who is an excellent screen navigator and off-ball chaser. It won’t be easy for Thompson to create space against the Suns forward, which once again limits his volume.
Thompson must top out at 4 three-pointers made about 62 percent of the time based on the odds.
Jusuf Nurkic First Basket (+800 FD)
Golden State ranked 22nd in first basket percentage last season because Kevon Looney doesn’t thrive in the tip-off. Jusuf Nurkic should beat him more often than not, which puts the basketball in their hands to begin the game.
The Warriors allowed first baskets to centers at one of the highest rates in the NBA, which bodes well for Nurkic. It’s likely that Phoenix opens up the game with Nurkic screening and rolling, so the pass may be there immediately. If not, he’s an excellent rebounder that should score via put-backs here against Golden State’s weak defensive rebounding. Meanwhile, Andrew Wiggins will be the best defender on the court for Golden State, so Durant owns the worst matchup of any Suns player here.