NFL Super Bowl 58 MVP Odds & Best Bets: Expert Picks & Predictions

Get updated Super Bowl 58 MVP odds below. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes currently enters the game with the shortest odds to win MVP at +150.

Super Bowl 58 MVP Odds

NFL Super Bowl 58 MVP Best Bets

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will meet again in the Super Bowl, four years removed from their Super Bowl 54 matchup. The Niners will to avenge their loss in that game while the Chiefs hope that history will repeat itself.

With plenty of stars on both sides, who will be named Super Bowl MVP? Let’s take a look at some of the best players on both sides, and discuss their odds to be named Super Bowl 58 MVP.

Patrick Mahomes (+140)

It’s not too likely that anyone other than Mahomes is named MVP if the Chiefs win this game. Kansas City is a +110 underdog, leaving very little gap between those odds and Mahomes’s to win the award.

When these teams met in Super Bowl 54, Mahomes was dreadful for 50 minutes — earning a passer rating below 80 — but was still named the MVP despite two teammates racking up over 100 scrimmage yards. He can do almost anything, and the Chiefs’ success will still be attributed to him.

That being said, he’s played some phenomenal postseason football of late. He did just enough against a spectacular Ravens defense, and shredded up the Buffalo Bills, both on the road. Last year’s Super Bowl featured a true MVP performance from Mahomes, as he ripped apart a great Eagles defense. This is a strong unit from the Niners, but he could do the same again this year and win a remarkable third Super Bowl MVP.

Christian McCaffrey (+450)

While it’s not as much of an ironclad case as Mahomes’s — hence the lower odds — it’s borderline impossible to imagine the Niners winning this game without an MVP-type performance from McCaffrey. The Chiefs have a top-tier pass defense, but they are really poor at preventing rushing offense.

The league’s best rushing offense, the Baltimore Ravens, sputtered tremendously against the Chiefs last week, but that was of their own doing; they handed the ball off to running backs just six times. The Niners should be a bit smarter, and do what they’ve done all year — feed McCaffrey.

McCaffrey led the league in both rushing and scrimmage yards, and has averaged at least four yards per carry in eight straight games. He averages right around 130 scrimmage yards per game, as he sees a heavy workload for one of the league’s most run-heavy teams in neutral-script snaps.

Expect Kyle Shanahan to lean on his top back with a tough task through the air for Brock Purdy and company. That being said, even if the Niners are forced into a more pass-heavy script than they would like, McCaffrey is an extremely strong receiver who has caught over 100 passes in two separate seasons. No matter what the game may hold, expect McCaffrey to be a huge part of it.

Travis Kelce (+1700)

It’s tough for a receiver, or tight end for that matter, to have an MVP-type performance without his quarterback also having a productive day, but we’ve seen it. Most recently, Cooper Kupp and Julian Edelman outshone star quarterbacks Matthew Stafford and Tom Brady to earn MVP honors, and Kelce is very capable of doing the same.

If there was an AFC Championship Game MVP award, there’s a solid chance Kelce would have won it last week. He hauled in 11 catches for 116 yards and a score, despite an uncharacteristically average game from Mahomes.

Kelce would be making history, as a tight end has never won this award, but he’s no stranger to rewriting the postseason record books. He recently passed Jerry Rice for the career postseason receptions record, and is only behind rice when it comes to receiving yards and touchdowns. Don’t be shocked if he makes history once more and wins MVP in Super Bowl 58.

Isiah Pacheco (+3500)

Pacheco is a bit of a long shot, but there’s more of a case than you might think for the Chiefs’ breakout running back. Like the Chiefs, the Niners are much better at defending the pass than the run, so — if Andy Reid follows that trend —, Pacheco could be in for a big day.

The Rutgers product has had a nice postseason so far, with a touchdown scored in every game. He had a tougher time than usual against the Ravens, but their run defense can do that to anyone. Look for him to bounce back in a big way against San Francisco.

Fred Warner (+18000)

Now we’re getting into the range of serious miracles, but Warner might be worth a look. A first-team All-Pro, Warner is one of the very best in the business, and as a top coverage linebacker, he could play a vital role in limiting Kelce.

Not many linebackers have won this honor, but it’s not impossible. Ray Lewis and Malcolm Smith did it from a similar position to Warner’s, while Von Miller won as an edge rusher. It’s not all that likely that Warner joins the club, but at ridiculous 180 to 1 odds, he may be worth a tiny flier.

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From starting my own blog in Middle School, to working on a friend’s in college, and finally joining the Lineups team this year, I’ve been writing about sports for over a decade and betting on them as long as I’ve been legally able. I graduated from the University of Michigan last year, where I took sports journalism classes alongside my business major. Having played and watched sports for almost my whole life, I aim to provide insight and entertainment, as well as profitable picks, in my writing about professional and collegiate leagues.

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