Super Bowl 58 Odds & First Super Bowl Bet to Make

Super Bowl 58 is set, and you have seen it before. The Chiefs will face the 49ers in Las Vegas, after Kansas City knocked off the Ravens on the road and San Francisco overcame a 17-point deficit against the Lions.

Here’s a first look at Super Bowl LVIII odds for Chiefs vs. 49ers, along with some insight on a first Super Bowl bet to make.

Super Bowl 58 Odds

The 49ers are currently slated as 1-point favorites with the total set at 47.5

First Super Bowl Bet to Make: Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline (+100) vs. San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers might have the more balanced roster, but the same was true for the Chiefs when they faced the Ravens. Now back in a neutral site facing a defense with more holes than Baltimore’s, Kansas City should at least be even in this matchup rather than an underdog. With the public still not sold on Brock Purdy, for the most part, could we see this line shift in that direction pretty quickly? It’s already shifted about a point in the Chiefs’ direction since opening at 49ers -2.5.

The concern for the 49ers is an obvious one. They have fallen behind by multiple possessions in each of their first two playoff games, both of which were at home. Overcoming a deficit against Joe Barry’s Packers defense or the Lions’ defense is simply not the same as overcoming a deficit against Steve Spagnuolo’s Chiefs defense. If San Francisco falls into another hole against a great quarterback, has Spagnuolo’s defense shown any indication that it will leave the door open for a Purdy-led passing game? If Lamar Jackson couldn’t do it, it might be tough for anyone to do it.

The 49ers have a chance to control the game if they can run the ball effectively and jump out to an early lead. That shouldn’t be counted on as a likely scenario. The Chiefs have scored on their first possession in eight consecutive playoff games, and the 49ers’ once-stout defense has looked ultra vulnerable early in recent games. Kansas City’s offense might not dominate every defense anymore, particularly with Joe Thuney’s status in doubt, but Mahomes is smart enough as a quarterback to take advantage of a 49ers pass defense that needed time to adjust to both Jordan Love and Jared Goff.

Kyle Shanahan’s history on this stage – a blown lead in Super Bowl LIV and the Falcons’ historic Super Bowl LI collapse – could also be a reason for the public losing faith in the 49ers and this line shifting in Kansas City’s direction. Is that fair? Shanahan has certainly shown something as a late-game play-caller over the last two weeks, but matching the greats (he lost to Brady and Mahomes in those games, respectively) is different than matching Love and Goff.

The over/under is 47.5 points, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see that dip just below 47 even with all of the offensive weapons in this game. The Chiefs’ defense is the storyline right now, allowing less than 14 points per game through three playoff games, while Kansas City’s offense has been streaky and was shut out in the second half of the AFC Title Game. It’s worth taking a close look at under 47.5, knowing last year’s shootout might be overshadowing the reality of three of the prior four Super Bowls (56, 55, 53) coming in under that total.

Dan is a lifelong sports fan and graduate of Boston University. He’s covered several sports on Instagram since he was 12 and now writes about everything from betting trends to breaking news for Lineups.

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