Super Bowl 58 Odds: Joe Flacco & Browns Make For Intriguing Betting Value
The Wild Card Round kicks off today and Super Bowl 58 odds will begin to change. San Francisco and Baltimore are the front runners, but each team has a sneaky dark horse regarding value. The Browns are riding high at +3000, per DraftKings Sportsbook, as Joe Flacco and company continue to ride high.
Best Super Bowl 58 Odds
San Francisco and Baltimore are the chalky two Super Bowl 58 picks, as both lead their respective conferences in making the Super Bowl. Behind them is the Bills, Cowboys, Chiefs, and Eagles. There is a clear-cut line between them and the favorites, especially as last year’s Super Bowl teams have major issues heading into the postseason.
Injuries have derailed the Dolphins over the last few weeks as they are tied with Detroit in Super Bowl odds. The Lions’ defense has been giving up a ton of points, and the question remains if they can slow down their former QB, Matthew Stafford.
Houston and Green Bay feel like a year too soon for their young quarterbacks, but crazier things have happened. Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay are being priced as if they are just lucky to be in the playoffs, and frankly, they are.
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Browns +3000 Super Bowl Value
This year feels more wide open than ever. Cleveland will have to play a road game in Houston to have a potential inter-division showdown with Baltimore next week, barring a Steelers or Dolphins win. Joe Flacco will need his weapons to get healthy before kickoff, but otherwise, this pass-heavy offense will get a Texans defense that can struggle against the pass. Houston ranks 20th in dropback EPA this season.
The Browns’ defense over the course of the year has been terrific. While not quite as potent as early in the season, injuries have been a reason why. Grant Delpit will need one more week, and Denzel Ward is questionable. They faced Houston without C.J. Stroud earlier this year, and this will be a different test for a patchwork secondary.
It feels like a win this week would bring back a fully healthy secondary in Round 2. Looking at the betting value, the Browns could be the 2nd best team in the AFC, yet are not priced as such. The path to a Super Bowl isn’t as daunting as prior seasons, with the Chiefs, Dolphins, and Bills all showing significant issues.
The Joe Flacco Revival Continues
Over the last five games, Cleveland is averaging 27.6 points per game. Flacco and the Browns lead all teams and quarterbacks in that span in passing yards and touchdowns. However, they also lead in interceptions and are among the bottom five in completion percentage.
It is safe to say the Browns will live or die by Flacco this weekend. It is a matchup where Flacco can thrive. Houston has allowed the third-highest yds/att and were shredded by tight ends. David Njoku and Amari Cooper could be in for big weeks as we saw them put up monster stats down the stretch. This was the matchup where Cooper put up 265 yards and two scores.
