Super Bowl odds and lookahead lines have been posted for each of the four possible matchups heading into Conference Championship weekend. Each of potential Super Bowl matchup is expected to be competitive based on the early lines.
Here’s a first look at Super Bowl LVIII odds for each hypothetical matchup, including which bets are worth placing now for all four scenarios.
Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Lookahead Odds
49ers Spread: -1.5
Ravens Spread: +1.5
49ers Moneyline: -110
Ravens Moneyline: -106
Best Bet: Ravens moneyline
Do not doubt Mike Macdonald’s ability to scheme for even the best offenses. We already got a look at what he can do when given time to prepare for Kyle Shanahan’s offense, as the Ravens forced four Brock Purdy interceptions on the road on Christmas and had San Francisco virtually out of the game through three quarters.
That’s not to say a Super Bowl matchup would be a blowout – Shanahan is certainly smart enough of a play-caller to learn from his mistakes – but there are still questions about what Purdy can do against a truly stifling defense, and even a strong performance against the Lions wouldn’t provide a meaningful answer.
If Macdonald schemes up a great defensive performance against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, it’s tough to see the Ravens remaining underdogs if they match up with San Francisco.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Detroit Lions Super Bowl Lookahead Odds
Ravens Spread: -4.5
Lions Spread: +4.5
Ravens Moneyline: -220
Lions Moneyline: +180
Best Bet: Ravens -3.5
Sensing a theme yet? I’m surprised to see somewhat of a lack of faith in the Ravens even after they rediscovered their rhythm in the second half against the Texans and totally dominated defensively.
Ben Johnson would have the Lions’ offense in a good position with two weeks to prepare, but it’s going to be hard for oddsmakers and bettors to ignore what happened when these two teams matched up in October. The Ravens wiped out Detroit 38-6 at home, going to halftime up 28-0. Lamar Jackson was able to take advantage of what we know is a flawed Lions defense, and Detroit’s offense had no answer for what Macdonald was dialing up.
A blowout of that proportion is basically unrealistic in the Super Bowl, particularly with how tight teams often come out in the big game, but memories of the last matchup between these two teams – knowing the Ravens are simply more complete – could push this line a bit beyond 3.5 points if this is the matchup we get.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions
Chiefs Spread: -3.5
Lions Spread: +3.5
Chiefs Moneyline: -180
Lions Moneyline: +150
Best Bet: Chiefs -3
This line feels the most practical of the four, though Lions fans will be quick to remind you they won in Kansas City in Week 1. The Lions can win this game if this is the matchup we get, but the playoff version of Patrick Mahomes, who has figured out how to get the most out of an offense that was broken for long stretches of the season, isn’t one to be doubted against a vulnerable defense.
If Mahomes does enough against the Ravens’ defense to earn a road win in the AFC title game, he can have his way with the Lions’ defense — as can Isiah Pacheco, who is playing some great football right now.
Line movement isn’t especially likely if this is the Super Bowl LVIII matchup, as it would require two statement road wins by underdogs, but the smart money at this point will be on the experience.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco
49ers Spread: -3
Chiefs Spread: +3
49ers Moneyline: -146
Chiefs Moneyline: +124
Best Bet: Chiefs +2.5
It makes sense for the 49ers to be favored over the Chiefs this time around, though it remains to be seen whether Brock Purdy can dig himself out of a hole against a tough Kansas City defense.
A fourth quarter deficit proved to be too much for Jimmy Garoppolo to overcome two years ago, and Patrick Mahomes is good enough that he and his surging offense could bury the 49ers early and put pressure on the offense to storm back in this one. The game would likely play out much differently if the 49ers took control early, but that’s far from a guaranteed scenario.
Why is the value on the Chiefs here? A Kansas City win against a terrific Ravens defense would inspire confidence in the offense to show up against the 49ers’ defense. San Francisco can’t prove as much as heavier favorites against the Lions, and this line has a chance to narrow just a bit.
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