Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Player Props & Picks (1/7/24)

Get Buccaneers vs. Panthers player prop picks & odds for their (1/7;/24) matchup.

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Buccaneers Vs. Panthers Player Prop Picks

In an improbable turn of events, at least based on preseason expectations, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a win away from clinching the NFC South. They’ll first have to beat the Carolina Panthers, who have already accomplished the similarly-improbable feat of finishing with the worst record in the NFL without controlling their own first round pick. Will the Panthers bottom out at 2-15, or will the Bucs slip up? There will be plenty of players on Tampa’s side pushing to make sure that it’s not the latter, so get Buccaneers vs. Panthers player prop picks & odds for the 1/7/23 matchup.

Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown (+105)

It’s my fault for going against my own word and betting on Evans against the Saints. Still, one loss isn’t going to get us off of what has been one of the most profitable player prop trains all season, we’re going back to the well one last time for the Tampa Bay regular season finale.

Evans officially leads the NFL with 13 receiving touchdowns, scored across 11 games; two of the five games in which he was blanked were against the Saints. He is the only player to start an NFL career with 10 consecutive thousand-yard seasons, and has joined a less-exclusive but still impressive club with five seasons with 12 or more touchdowns. This is to say, that other than in games against the Saints- they just have his number, there’s no great analytical explanation- Evans is a paragon of consistency.

Carolina’s pass defense is pretty solid, especially since the return of Jaycee Horn. Perhaps that, paired with the lackluster outing last week, is why Evans’s touchdown prop is in plus-money once more. However, Horn played last time these two teams met, which was one of Evans’s best games of the year as he racked up a season-high seven catches for 162 yards — his second-highest total of the year. With the division on the line, expect Baker Mayfield to go after his most dependable goal line target once more.

Chris Godwin Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Evans isn’t the only Tampa receiver we’re backing in this one. His partner in crime Chris Godwin is also having another nice year, as he’s just a few yards away from reaching 1,000 on the season. He’s been way over this number in each of his past three games, with 78 being the lowest receiving total in any of those contests, and he was over by half a yard in the game before that stretch.

Last time the Bucs played the Panthers, he actually did not record a catch, but there’s no reason that should become a trend; he’s not getting shadowed by Horn all day long. That outing, in which Godwin interestingly enough did score a rushing touchdown, could be part of the reason for this low number.

Another reason could be that this is priced for a blowout, which it probably won’t end up being. Even if it is, will the Bucs go run-heavy? Their track record doesn’t show that to be too likely, and they’re even less likely to take their foot off the gas with the division theirs for the taking.

Rachaad White Over 96.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)

Yes, we’re skeptical that the Bucs will run away with this game enough to solely lean on the run, but they should not have to in order for this prop to hit. For starters, White is a major threat in the receiving game. He’s averaging over four targets per game, and has racked up 24 and 38 receiving yards in his past two games, respectively. Similarly, he recorded 22 receiving yards last time these teams played, which was also a good rushing game for white as he ran for 84 yards.

Which brings us to our next point; White’s most productive performances have not routinely come in blowout wins. That game with the Panthers was a pretty tight one, and he crossed the threshold of 100 scrimmage yards. The game before that one, he ran for 100 yards in a loss to the Colts, and the game after the first matchup with Carolina, White ran for a season-high 102 yards and received 33 in a last-second win over Atlanta.

White’s rushing number, a major component of this total, is also a bit low due to a pair of recent low-production outings against some solid rushing defenses. The Panthers’ ground defense cannot be described the same way — they rank dead last in the NFL in both DVOA and EPA against the run, and should allow plenty of production for White.

Chase McLaughlin Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-125)

Simply put, the Bucs have not been a good enough red zone offense to be able to not lean on McLaughlin. They’re 25th in the NFL in red zone efficiency, as just 48.9% of their drives inside the opponent’s 20 yard line have finished in the end zone.

That has generally translated to a solid workload for McLaughlin. He didn’t hit a field goal last game, but he’s been over 1.5 in 11 games this year — including each of the three before last week’s outing. He’s been very consistent, hitting nearly 93% of his field goals this year, including every single chance from inside the red zone. After the Bucs fought to an uncomfortably close win against the Panthers last time out, expect them to turn to their kicker to pick up valuable points a couple times with their playoff hopes at stake.

North Carolina Sports Betting Update

NC Sports Betting is currently expected to go live ahead of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Known for their rich college basketball tradition, residents across the Tar Heel state would be able to wager on each game of this year’s tourney from their phones & computers were this goal to be met. Using sportsbook apps such as DraftKings North Carolina and Bet365 North Carolina, individuals would also be able to place wagers on the Hurricanes, Hornets, and any other team of their choice. DraftKings and Bet365 will also be offering new user bonuses in the state that will allow individuals to either receive bonus bets on deposit, or earn their money back on their first bet if it loses.

For up-to-date coverage of the North Carolina sports betting market — including the best new user promos — consult the “NC Sports Betting” tab on Lineups.

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