Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Matchup Preview (1/11/19): Matchup Analysis, Depth Charts, Daily Fantasy

It has been a long two weeks for Baltimore, where they were red hot and ready for the playoffs. They will welcome the sixth seed Tennessee Titans in what could be a bad weather game where it is wet and rainy. Tennessee is coming off a big win agains the Patriots, and will take on the number one seed. Baltimore dominated this season, going 14-2 with the likely MVP of the league under center. Baltimore finished the season with ten straight wins. Vegas is looking at this one as a runaway game for Baltimore being nine point favorites. The over/under is sitting at 46.5. The rushing attack for the Ravens is the big story here having two 1,000 yard rushers. Jackson of course had 36 touchdowns and over 3,000 passing yards. The Titans will have their hands full with this loaded offense, but Baltimore is going to need to slow down Derrick Henry, which hasn’t been easy for most teams of late. For odds line movement, and full matchup history, see the Tennessee Titans At Baltimore Ravens Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: Saturday, January 11th,
Time: 8:15 ET
Location: M&T – Baltimore, MD
Coverage: CBS

Injury Report

Tennessee Titans:
Baltimore Ravens:

Tennessee Titans Analysis

Tennessee TitansLooking back at the Titans 20-13 win over the Patriots, they gave the ball to Derrick Henry and let him go to work. Henry rushed for 182 yards on 34 carries. Ryan Tannehill threw the ball just 15 times, going for 72 yards with an interception and pick. No receiver had more than three targets, and the leading receiver was Anthony Firkser. Who? Yeah, us too. The Titans are going to see another tough pass defense, and the problem with this matchup is the Ravens offense has the capability of jumping ahead enough to put the pressure on Tannehill to throw the ball. Tennessee has been rather comfortable most weeks controlling the game behind Henry down the stretch. This might be an issue more so this week. There is going to be a battle in the red zone this week. Tennessee scored on 76% of their red zone appearances, while Baltimore held teams to less than 50%. Tennessee allowed 66% red zone scores, and Baltimore had a 67% red zone scoring rate. Both teams averaged right around 6.0 yards per carry, and ran the ball a hefty amount. Of course they run the ball a bit different. Henry is going to see a big workload as he has all year. He finished with 303 attempts, which led the league. He tied in rushing touchdowns with Aaron Jones, and led the league in rushing yards. A.J. Brown established himself this year, catching eight touchdowns, and going for over 1,000 yards.

Tennessee Titans Depth Chart

QB: Ryan Tannehill
RB1: Derrick Henry
RB2: Dion Lewis
WR1: Corey Davis
WR2: A.J. Brown
WR3: Tajae Sharp
TE: Jonnu Smith

Baltimore Ravens Analysis

Baltimore RavensThe Ravens were the top team in football during the regular season, and hopefully the two week layoff isn’t a factor here. Baltimore averaged 407 yards per game, and averaged 33.2 points per game. Baltimore clearly has the advantage on the offensive side. They also held teams to just 300.6 yards per game. Both teams were fairly disciplined this season, and neither turned the ball over much. Baltimore turned the ball over just 0.9 times per game, and Tennessee was sitting at 1.1. Time of possession is going to be key in this game, especially with the rushing attacks. Baltimore averaged 34:32 minutes on offense this season, compared to Tennessee’s 28:40. Lamar Jackson led the league in passing touchdowns at 36, and had over 1,000 rushing yards. Mark Andrews is going up against a Titans defense that has allowed big numbers to tight ends this season. Andrews ranked seventh in receptions among tight ends, fifth in yards, and first in touchdowns. Mark Ingram had an underrated year in my opinion. He had only 202 rushing attempts, but rushed for 1,018 yards and ten touchdowns. Ingram also posted a 26-247-5 line. Gus Edwards also rushed for 711 yards and two touchdowns. Keep an eye on him as a sleeper moving forward.

Baltimore Ravens Depth Chart

QB: Lamar Jackson
RB1: Mark Ingram
RB2: Gus Edwards
WR1: Marquise Brown
WR2: Willie Snead
WR3: Miles Boykin
TE: Mark Andrews

Betting Pick: Over 46.5

A 9-10 point favorite depending on the sportsbook is a lot to lay in a playoff game, although Baltimore has a big edge here and were 10-5-1 ATS this season. However the Titans are running hot and were 10-7 ATS this season, including last week. I am not looking much into the spread, and more so at the over here. Baltimore is averaging 33.1 points per game this season, and Tennessee is at 24.8. I am looking for Baltimore to continue their strong offensive season, with some garbage and Derrick Henry points to put this game over. The over has been popular since Ryan Tannehill took over, going 9-2 in the last 11 games. The over was 9-7 for for Baltimore this season. Now this bet could take a slight hit if the weather ends up being bad. There is rain and wind in the forecast, but still a few days away where that could change. so we will need to pay attention to that. However, Baltimore dominated in the rain this season that didn’t hurt the over.

Daily Fantasy: Lamar Jackson Ready To Shine

Taking a look at the Titans first, they face a Baltimore defense that really came alive in the second half of the season. Overall this was an excellent pass defense, ranking 4th in DVOA, but 19th against the run. Of course that is where Derrick Henry can attack. His workload and production in the second half of the season has been amazing. Henry is certainly a top back this weekend, but when we get to the rest of the offense, they could be in some trouble. Ryan Tannehill and the pass offense was held in check last week against New England, and this is another tough spot for him. Baltimore held opposing quarterbacks to the second fewest fantasy points per game. Wide receivers were slightly below league average for fantasy points against Baltimore, and then tight ends scored the fewest fantasy points per game against Baltimore. Tough spot here for those names, but the use of AJ Brown continues to be encouraging, especially the deep ball threat.

lamar jacksonBaltimore has one of the higher implied totals of the weekend, and we can start with Lamar Jackson who gets a Titans defense that rank 21st against the pass. Jackson was the top scoring fantasy option of course this season, and his rushing upside always sets him apart from the rest. He checks in as the top option this week at the position, just ahead of Patrick Mahomes. Now stacking with him, Mark Andrews is the name to go with here. Tennessee allowed the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends this season. Andrews was a top five tight end this season in fantasy, and can stretch the field as well. Marquise Brown is always a home run threat, and was a go-to deep threat for Jackson. Mark Ingram has a little question mark with his health, but the Titans were a middle of the road team in fantasy points allowed to opposing backs. Ingram is sneaky good in the passing game, and Tennessee struggled a bit against backs in the passing game.

  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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