Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Matchup Preview 12/1/19: Analysis, Daily Fantasy

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The Titans are heading to Indianapolis to take on the Colts this Sunday in a rematch of their close week 2 meeting. The Titans have been looking strong since the switch to Tannehill, going 4-1 and looking for Derrick Henry to carry them into a spot in the playoffs. Henry had a huge game against the Jaguars, rushing for 159 yards and two touchdowns. Their rookie wide receiver AJ Brown also had a huge game, taking 4 receptions for 135 yards and a touchdown. The Colts are coming off of a tough loss to the Texans. The good news is that wide receiver T.Y. Hilton back from injury, which will be hugely important if they’re looking to get into the playoffs. Jonathan Williams, Marlon Mack’s replacement, has also been putting up big numbers for them and has been a huge contributing factor for their offense. Overall I’m expecting a close game but I think the Colts have the edge in this matchup due to the strength of their defense.

TV Schedule

Date: Sunday, December 1, 2019
Time: 10:00 AM
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Coverage: CBS

Injury Report

Titans: Chris Milton (O), Cameron Wake (O), Kevin Pamphile (Q), Delanie Walker (Q), LeShaun Sims (Q), Malcolm Butler (O)
Colts: T.Y. Hilton (Q), Khari Willis (Q), Rock Ya-Sin (Q), Marlon Mack (O), Parris Campbell (Q), Eric Ebron (O), Devin Funchess (O)

Tennessee Titans Analysis

The Titans have been doing really well since Tannehill sat down in the driver’s seat, going 4-1 since then and looking at a possible playoff run. They looked especially good in their last matchup, beating the Jaguars 42-20. Derrick Henry ran for 159 yards and two touchdowns and caught the ball once for 16 yards. Henry has been one of the biggest keys for their season, and has been one of the most productive backs in the league so far this season. He has 991 yards and 10 touchdowns on the season, 4th in the league for both categories. Their other weapon this season has been A.J. Brown who’s having a fantastic rookie year with 581 yards and 4 touchdowns on the season. These players are going to be important in their matchup against the Colts, whose defense has been much tougher than the Jaguars’. For one, they allow only 97.0 yards on the ground per game on average. I’m expecting Henry to get more than this, of course, but it’ll be a lot harder for him to have a game as big as the one he had against Jacksonville.

The Titans’ defense has been their weaker point over the past 5 games. Despite winning 4 of them, they’ve allowed opponents to score an average 25 points, which is higher than their season average of 19.7. The Colts have T.Y. Hilton back, and with Malcolm Butler out the Titans are going to need to think of an effective way to contain him. They’ve been weaker against the pass, allowing 255.6 yards on average, the 9th most in the league. They’re stronger against the run, however, which is going to be really helpful against the Colts’ Jonathan Williams who has been on a hot streak over the past two games. Overall, I think they’re in for a tough battle against a productive Colts offense, and therefore it’s going to be a tough game for them to win.

Tennessee Titans Depth Chart

QB: Ryan Tannehill
RB1: Derrick Henry
RB2: Dion Lewis
WR1: Corey Davis
WR2: A.J. Brown
WR3: Adam Humphries
TE: Delanie Walker

Indianapolis Colts Analysis

The Colts beat the Jaguars heartily in week 11, a week before the Titans did it. Unfortunately, week 12 wasn’t the same story for them, when they lost 20-17 to the Texans partially due to a controversial call on a fumble. Their offense was supposed to get a boost last week with the return of T.Y. Hilton, but he only had 18 yards off of 3 receptions. Regardless, I’m still expecting him to have a bigger game against the Titans. I’m expecting him to have even more targets than usual, as Eric Ebron was placed on IR with an ankle injury. The Titans allow the 9th most passing yards on average this season with 255.6 per game, so I’m expecting Hilton to have an easier time against the Titans secondary, especially one that’s missing Malcolm Butler. Somebody the Colts have been able to rely on as of late is Jonathan Williams, a name that was pretty foreign to a lot of people before the Colts’ game against the Jaguars. In week 11 he had 13 carries for 116 yards, and 104 yards and a touchdown off of 26 carries against the Texans. He’ll have a tougher matchup against the Titans, but I’m still expecting the Colts to lean heavily on him and he’s been reliable enough to warrant it.

The Colts have been tough against the run, allowing an average 97.0 yards per game (9th fewest in the league). Any rushing defense is going to be tested against Derrick Henry, but luckily it seems like they’ll have an easier time containing him than another opponent might. In their week 2 matchup against the Titans, they allowed Henry 82 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries. These are still big numbers, an average 5.5 yards per carry, but it’s far less than, for example, the Jaguars allowed. I think they’ll be able to contain Henry enough to allow their offense to outscore the Titans, which is why I think the Colts are going to come out on top in this matchup.

Indianapolis Colts Depth Chart

QB: Jacoby Brissett
RB1: Jonathan Williams
RB2: Nyheim Hines
WR1: T.Y. Hilton
WR2: Zach Pascal
WR3: Chester Rogers
TE: Jack Doyle

Fantasy

If you haven’t at least considered Jonathan Williams, I urge you to check him out. In my opinion, he’s the most valuable running back widely available on the waiver wire right now, falling right around 30% ownership. Over the past two weeks he’s gotten 15.7 and 21.1 points in PPR leagues. He has a tougher matchup against the Titans, but considering he got 26 carries in week 12 I expect a big workload for him this week which means the potential for big points for your fantasy roster. He’s a great addition to your team while Mack is out, and even once Mack comes back I expect Williams to have some kind of a spot on this offense based on how productive he’s been since Mack went out. I think A.J. Brown is another good pickup for this week. He sits at 15.5% ownership in ESPN leagues so he’s pretty widely available. He had a huge 23.5 point game last week against the Jaguars, and I think he’ll be in for another bigger game due to the precedent he set for himself in week 12.