Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens Matchup Preview (11/22/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
The last time we saw the Titans play the Ravens, Tennessee earned a shocking playoff upset in the AFC Divisional game. Derrick Henry was a force of nature in that game as he picked up 195 rushing yards on 30 carries and made it, so Ryan Tannehill barely had to do anything – he completed 7 of 14 passes for 88 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game. Lamar Jackson, on the other hand, struggled against the Titans defense as he completed just 31 of 59 passes for 365 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions as he was sacked 4 times. The Titans won that game by 16 points, but plenty has changed since then. At 6-3, Baltimore sits 3 games behind Pittsburgh for the lead in the AFC North and is hanging onto a playoff spot by a thread as 9 teams in the AFC are 6-3 or better, including the Titans. Tennessee lost to Indianapolis the last time we saw them on the field as their awful special teams play led to a 17-point loss in a game they never had much of a chance of winning. The extra days off prior to this game should help them a ton, and both teams will be hungry to win this game with some significant playoff implications. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, November 22nd, 2020
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, Maryland
TV Coverage: CBS
Titans vs. Ravens Live Stream
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Tennessee Titans: C Ben Jones (knee) Q, CB Kareem Orr (groin) Q, OG Roger Saffold (ankle) O, WR Adam Humphries (concussion) O, OLB Jadeveon Clowney (knee) O, CB Adoree’ Jackson (knee) O, TE MyCole Pruitt (knee) O, DT Larrell Murchison (back) O, CB Kristian Fulton (knee) IR eligible to return, LB David Long (COVID-19) IR, OT Taylor Lewan (ACL) IR, P Brett Kern (wrist) IR, CB Tye Smith (shoulder) IR, RB Darrynton Evans (hamstring) IR, DB Dane Cruikshank (groin) IR
Baltimore Ravens: CB Jimmy Smith (ankle) Q, LB L.J. Fort (finger) Q, DE Calais Campbell (calf) D, DT Brandon Williams (ankle) D, QB Trace McSorely (COVID-19) IR, CB Iman Marshall (COVID-19) IR, TE Nick Boyle (MCL) IR, DB Terrell Bonds (knee) IR, CB Khalil Dorsey (shoulder) IR, WR Chris Moore (thigh) IR, OG Tyre Phillips (ankle) IR, OT Ronnie Stanley (ankle) IR, CB Tavon Young (ACL) IR
Tennessee Titans Analysis
Every NFL analyst in the world was calling for regression from Ryan Tannehill this season after he completed 70.3% of his passes and had a 16-game pace of 4,390 passing yards with 35 touchdowns and 10 interceptions across his 10 starts in place of Marcus Mariota. The efficiency has dipped a bit as his percentage is down from 70.3% to 64.8%, his yards per completion is down from 9.6 to 7.6, and his passer rating is down from 117.5 to 106.9. However, he’s thrown for 2,128 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions through 9 games and has led the Titans to an impressive 6-3 record despite an injury-plagued offense surrounding him. Tannehill has had a rough go of it as of late, though, as he’s thrown for under 160 yards and completed less than 56% of his passes in each of his past two games. He’ll look to bounce back this week but won’t find it easy against the Ravens, who rank top-10 across the board in passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and QBR allowed.
Of course, so much of what Ryan Tannehill is able to do relies on the shoulders of Derrick Henry, one of the premier workhorse running backs in the NFL. Henry has 201 carries (most) for 946 yards (2nd-most) and 8 touchdowns (third-most) so far this season. He’s rushing for 4.7 yards per carry, a very impressive number given how much of his touches come as simple halfback dives and inside zone rushes. Henry’s dominance on the ground forces opponents to stack the box with extra defenders, which opens up the middle of the field for downfield play-action passing. This formula has paid dividends for Tennessee’s offense and will once again be their key to success this week.
Tennessee’s offensive line has taken a major step back this season, and it all started with the departure of Jack Conklin in free agency, who is now the Browns’ starting tackle. Taylor Lewan, the Titans’ other stalwart tackle from last year, was lost for the season a few weeks ago with an ACL injury. Meanwhile, offensive guard Roger Saffold will miss this week, and center Ben Jones is currently listed as questionable with a knee injury. That leaves second-year guard Nate Davis as the only remaining starter from the Titans’ offensive line that dominated in the playoffs, and Davis was clearly the weak link in the group. As they face a dominant Baltimore front seven this week, the Titans’ offensive line woes could keep them from keeping the game close.
The Titans have gotten some great production out of their pass-catchers this season, which has helped them maintain a top-ten scoring offense. Corey Davis leads the team in receptions with 34 catches for 436 yards and 3 touchdowns. A.J. Brown has a team-high 6 touchdown catches this season as he’s caught 32 balls for 478 yards. Jonnu Smith and Anthony Firkser have been very productive at tight end, combining for 51 catches for 567 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Adam Humphries has added another 22 catches for 219 yards and 2 touchdowns. This is a deep and talented receiving corps capable of making big plays, especially A.J. Brown, who can break a long touchdown at any time. However, they’ll have their work cut out for them this week against a top-notch Ravens’ secondary.
Defensively, the Titans have taken a major step back this season. They were the 12th-best scoring defense last year, allowing just 20.7 points per game, and this year they’re just the 17th-best scoring defense as they allow 26.1 points per game. The Tennessee passing defense has really struggled as they allow the fifth-most passing yards per game – long-term injuries to cornerbacks Adoree’ Jackson and Kristian Fulton have been brutal. Jadaveon Clowney, the team’s best and sometimes only pass-catcher, is also expected to miss this week. The Titans have just 11 sacks through 9 games, tied for the second-fewest in the NFL, and while the Ravens’ offensive line hasn’t been the same dominant unit it was last year, they shouldn’t struggle against Tennesee’s pass rush. The Titans are also a below-average defense in both yards per carry and yards per game allowed, which doesn’t bode well for them against the most productive rushing offense in the NFL.
A real issue that has held Tennessee back this season has been some putrid special teams play. Stephen Gostkowski has made just 12 of 20 field goals and 25 of 27 extra-point attempts this season, often leaving the Titans with fewer points than they should have. Tennessee’s punting has also been very problematic. Brett Kern continues to deal with a wrist injury, and he ranked fourth in the NFL in average yards per punt last season. Last week, Trevor Daniel filled in for Kern and was disastrous as he shanked one punt and saw another one blocked – both of these plays led to Indianapolis touchdowns. The Titans need to figure out their special teams’ woes and fast, or else they won’t be winning very many games this season.
Tennessee Titans Depth Chart
Baltimore Ravens Analysis
Like Ryan Tannehill, Lamar Jackson was also a prime candidate for regression this season, and it’s been a rough year for him so far. He ranks just 18th with a 65.3 QBR and ranks 19th in EPA (expected points added) among all quarterbacks. After throwing for 36 touchdowns and 6 interceptions last season, Jackson is on a 16-game pace of 25 passing touchdowns and 9 interceptions. After rushing for 1,206 yards and 7 touchdowns last year, he’s on pace for 932 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. He’s also scoring about 7 fewer fantasy points per game than he did last season. It hasn’t been all bad for Jackson as his team still sits at 6-3, but he’s going to need to have a big second half of the season to make sure the Ravens sneak into the playoffs.
While the Titans have a workhorse, star running back in Derrick Henry, the Ravens have gone for more of a committee approach. Lamar Jackson is their leading rusher as he ranks 13th in the NFL with 524 rushing yards and has also run for 5 touchdowns. Gus Edwards leads the backfield with 370 yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground. Meanwhile, Mark Ingram has been their most reliable option as he’s started 7 games, although he’s continued to lose work to Edwards. Ingram has run for 230 yards and 2 touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins has also been heavily involved with 310 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns of his own. The Ravens have the most rushing yards in the NFL and have a backfield full of diverse, talented options to keep defenses off-balance.
The Ravens’ offensive line has been one of the strengths of this team, although it isn’t the same dominant group they had last year. Multi-time All-Pro offensive guard Marshal Yanda retired over the offseason, leaving Bradley Bozeman and Matt Skura to start in the middle, while left tackle Ronnie Stanley’s season-ending ankle injury has left Jackson without his stalwart blindside protector. Baltimore’s offensive line has still allowed them to rush for 5.0 YPC as a team, the fourth-highest mark. However, Lamar Jackson has been sacked 2.6 times per game this season, a significant uptick from the 1.9 sacks per game he took last year. Orlando Brown had held down the fort at left tackle, but the Ravens’ offensive line just isn’t the same dominant force it was last year.
Lamar Jackson’s lack of passing volume – he only has 1,762 passing yards through 9 games – has led to some underwhelming stats for the pass-catchers on this roster. Tight end Mark Andrews leads the team with 33 catches for 358 yards and 5 touchdowns, as he’s been the team’s most consistent receiving option. At wide receiver, Marquise “Hollywood” Brown has flashed more of the elite play we saw at times during his rookie season last year, but he’s been inconsistent overall and has just 32 catches for 431 yards and 2 touchdowns so far. Willie Snead has been productive with 25 catches for 356 yards and 3 touchdowns. Outside of those three players, no Ravens’ pass-catcher has more than 15 receptions or 175 receiving yards. The Titans have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game, so there is the opportunity for one of these guys to have a big game this week.
Defensively, the Ravens have been one of the best teams in football this season. They rank top 12 in both rushing yards and passing yards allowed and also sport the #1 scoring defense in the NFL. They have 25 sacks in 9 games and have forced seven fumbles this year, tied for the most in the NFL, so they could give this patchwork Titans’ offensive line a really tough time. The cornerback trio of Marlon Humphery, Marcus Peters, and Jimmy Smith has been one of the best in football this season as they’ve held opponents to the 10th-lowest completion percentage and the 2nd-lowest yards per completion this season. Smith is questionable for this game, however. Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams, two of this team’s most important defensive linemen, are doubtful as well. I still think the Ravens’ defense presents some problems for Tennessee, but those injuries are going to be an obstacle for Baltimore to overcome.
While the Titans’ special teams have been very problematic, the Ravens boast one of the best special teams units in football. They lead the NFL in yards per kickoff return, and Justin Tucker has made all of his extra points and all but one of his field-goal attempts this season. Meanwhile, Sam Koch and the punting team rank 13th in net yards per punt. Special teams aren’t typically something I focus on in these matchup previews, but it’s well worth discussing when the discrepancy is as large as it is between these two teams.
Baltimore Ravens Depth Chart
Spread: Ravens -6, Titans +6
Moneyline: Ravens -260, Titans +220
Over/Under: 49.5 points
It’s been over a year since the Ravens have lost two straight games, and Vegas isn’t expecting that to change anytime soon. While the Baltimore defense struggled to keep New England’s rushing offense at bay in the monsoon last week, they are still allowing the fewest points per game in the NFL and will present a ton of matchup problems for a Titans’ squad missing four of its five offensive line starters from the last time these teams met. Tennessee is also working through some defensive issues as they’ve been torched by opposing quarterbacks this year. The Titans’ special teams will also continue to be a problem, especially against one of the best special teams squads in the NFL. Baltimore has the horses on defense to keep Derrick Henry and company at bay, even as they could potentially be without Jimmy Smith, Calais Campbell, and Brandon Williams.
The Titans are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, while the Ravens are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games. Tennessee is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. A lot of that has been due to special teams woes, as a missed field goal here and a shanked punt here makes all the difference in their ability to cover a spread in any given game. I’d lean towards picking the Ravens to cover here, even as the Titans come off a few days of extra rest, as I believe Baltimore is better equipped to deal with its significant injuries than Tennessee is. I’d also pick the under here as the total has gone under in 7 of Baltimore’s last 10 games and in 10 of Baltimore’s last 13 games vs. Tennessee.
My predictions: Ravens win 27-20, Ravens cover, under 49.5 points
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Daily Fantasy Picks
It hasn’t been the same kind of fantasy MVP caliber season for Lamar Jackson as he had last year, but he’s still averaging a solid 20 fantasy points per game. His rushing ability gives him a strong baseline, and he presents strong upside against the Titans, who allow 2.2 passing touchdowns per game, the fourth-most in the NFL. The Titans allow the 8th-most fantasy points per game to the quarterback position, and their secondary has repeatedly been torched this year. I love Jackson’s upside in this matchup, and I believe this game will be the turning point for his fantasy season.
In the fantasy wasteland of tight ends, it’s difficult to find anyone who presents the same level of upside that Andrews does. He has caught 33 passes for 358 yards and 5 touchdowns this year, not exactly phenomenal production, but what he lacks in consistency he makes up for in big games – he’s surpassed 13 PPR points in four of his nine games and has surpassed 20 PPR points in two of those. With the Titans allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game and Andrews’s stature as Jackson’s favorite target, you could do a lot worse at tight end this week.
Tannehill is one of the clear fades for me in DFS this week as he faces the Ravens who allow the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Baltimore’s front seven is going to give Tannehill fits behind this patchwork offensive line, and I’m expecting a similar outcome to the last two weeks when he’s averaged about 12 fantasy points per game against two tough defenses in the Bears and Colts. The entire passing offense for Tennessee is in trouble in this matchup, and there are plenty of quarterback options I’d rather turn to this week.