Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Matchup Preview (11/29/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
The Titans and Colts and neck-and-neck in the AFC South, with both teams sitting at 7-3. The Colts won the first matchup between these teams, so they sit atop the division due to holding the tiebreaker. Both of these teams earned huge wins last week as the Titans went on the road to Baltimore and won for the second time in the calendar year of 2020 while the Colts took down the Packers at home on the back of a 20-3 stretch in the second half and overtime. With nine different teams in the NFL sitting at 6-4 or better, the playoffs are far from a guarantee for either of these teams, and it’s going to be an exciting close to the season in the AFC. For odds movement and full matchup history on this exciting divisional matchup, visit the Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, November 29th, 2020
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN
TV Coverage: CBS
Titans vs. Colts Live Stream
Where can you watch Titans vs. Colts online? You can stream this game, and many other NFL games live online with Hulu. Hulu has a 7 Day free trial and is cheaper than cable options at $5.99/month. Watch Titans vs. Colts Free Online Now.
Tennessee Titans: WR A.J. Brown (knee) Q, CB Malcolm Butler (ribs) Q, C Ben Jones (knee) Q, OT Dennis Kelly (knee) Q, OG Rodger Saffold (ankle) Q, WR Adam Humphries (concussion) Q, CB Adoree’ Jackson (knee) Q, CB Kristian Fulton (knee) Q, P Brett Kern (wrist) Q, OT Ty Sambrailo (undisclosed) IR, LB Jayon Brown (elbow) IR, LB Jadeveon Clowney (knee) IR
Indianapolis Colts: QB Phillip Rivers (toe) Q, LB Bobby Okereke (ankle) Q, C Ryan Kelly (neck) Q, OG Quenton Nelson (back) Q, CB Rock Ya-Sin (illness) Q, S Khari Willis (ribs) Q, FS Julian Blackmon (illness) Q, DT DeForest Buckner (COVID-19) IR, DT DeMeco Autry (COVID-19) IR
Tennessee Titans Analysis
Ryan Tannehill has had an excellent season for Tennessee as he’s thrown for 22 touchdowns to 4 interceptions through 10 games – that’s a 16-game pace of 35 touchdowns to just 6 interceptions. He ranks 7th in the NFL with a QBR of 76.2 and a passer rating of 106.6. His passing completion percentage and yards per completion have taken a slight hit compared to last season, but the massive regression many expected has not come to fruition. Last week, he had a solid outing against a tough Ravens’ pass defense as he completed 22 of 31 passes for 259 yards and 2 touchdowns to 1 interception, finishing with a QBR of 80.9. The Titans’ play-action-heavy offense built around Derrick Henry and relying on a strong cast of receiving weapons has paid dividends for Tannehill’s production.
Derrick Henry has been one of the best running backs in the NFL this season as he’s run for 1,079 yards through 10 games and is on pace for a career-best mark of 1,726 yards. He’s also powered into the end zone on 9 separate occasions, putting him on pace for 15 rushing scores on the year. Henry is an impossible player to tackle and absolutely wears opposing defenses out – his 29-yard rushing touchdown to win the game in overtime for the Titans exposed a Ravens’ defense that had grown exhausted throughout the course of the game. The Colts allow just 89.2 rushing yards per game, the third-fewest in the NFL, so Henry’s matchup against this defense will likely be critical to determining the outcome of this game.
The Titans have been able to rely on a cadre of talented pass-catchers, but A.J. Brown has led the charge with 36 catches for 540 yards and 7 touchdowns in 8 games after missing some time at the beginning of the season. That would put him on pace for 72 catches for 1,080 yards and 14 touchdowns where he to play a full 16-game slate, and he has 7 big-time catches this year per ESPN. Brown’s highlight-reel touchdown that featured a broken tackle on seemingly every Ravens’ defender was one of the plays of the game last week for Tennessee.
Corey Davis has been very productive as well, with a team-leading 39 catches for 549 yards and 3 touchdowns – last week, he came down with 5 receptions for 113 yards. There hasn’t been much else to go around with two Titans’ receivers on a 16-game pace of 1,000+ receiving yards. However, tight ends Jonnu Smith and Anthony Firkser have combined for 59 catches for 620 yards. Smith has tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns with 7 so far this year. A.J. Brown and Adam Humphries hit the Injured Reserve this week, and both players may miss this week, in which case the ancillary options would be heavily-utilized, primarily the team’s tight ends.
The Titans’ status as the 9th-highest-scoring offense in football so far this season has been particularly impressed with the injuries they’ve suffered to their offensive line. After losing Jack Conklin to the Browns in free agency, Taylor Lewan was lost for the year with a season-ending ACL injury. Interior offensive linemen Ben Jones and Rodger Saffold hit the Injured Reserve this week while Ty Sambrailo and Dennis Kelly, replacements for those losses, are injured. Even with those key offensive line injuries, the Titans ran for 5+ YPC as a team and held Ryan Tannehill to just 2 sacks. Tannehill was only sacked once the last time these teams played, and the line’s ability to keep him upright will be critical to the team’s success.
Tennessee’s defense has been a sore spot for them this season as they’ve allowed the 8th-most yards per game. They’ve been particularly weak in the front seven – they allow 4.4 YPC, the 13th-most, while they have just 12 sacks in 10 games, the third-fewest in the NFL. Injuries to linebackers Jadeveon Clowney, Jayon Brown, and David Long could put this team in a tough spot against the Colts’ elite offensive line. Meanwhile, the Titans’ secondary has struggled as well – they’ve allowed the seventh-most passing yards and the sixth-most passing touchdowns this season. The Colts aren’t characterized as an elite downfield passing attack, but they will have the opportunity to produce like the one against this defense. That’s especially true with injuries to cornerbacks Adoree’ Jackson, Malcolm Butler, and Kristian Fulton hampering this team on the back end.
The Titans’ success this season has largely depended on a turnover differential of +10, better than any team other than the 10-0 Steelers. Tennessee has generated 15 defensive takeaways and has turned the ball over just 5 times, the fewest in the NFL. However, the Packers came into their game with the Colts with a similarly low turnover rate and surprisingly coughed up the ball on four separate occasions – that proved to be key to the Colts’ comeback win.
The last time the Titans and Colts played, Tennessee’s special teams were incredibly problematic as Trevor Daniel shanked one punt and had another one blocked and returned for a touchdown. Meanwhile, Stephen Gostkowski missed a field goal that ultimately didn’t matter, but it underscored a brutal season for him in which he’s made just 65.2% of his field goals. Gostkowski went 3/3 on field goals last week, and Trevor Daniel did much better with an average of 46.5 yards on his two punts, but Indianapolis still has the special teams advantage between these two teams.
Tennessee Titans Depth Chart
Indianapolis Colts Analysis
In his first season with the Colts after 14 years as the Chargers’ starting quarterback, Philip Rivers has been solid but unspectacular. He’s completed 68.5% of his passes for 2,683 yards and 14 touchdowns to 8 interceptions – that’s a 16-game pace of 4,300 passing yards with 22 touchdowns to 13 interceptions. However, he ranks just 20th in the NFL with a QBR of 64.7 and 16th with a passer rating of 95.0. Last week, Rivers was crucial to the Colts’ comeback win over the Packers as he threw for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns, all three of which came in the second half of the game. Indianapolis’s strong offensive line and deep group of skill position players have enabled Rivers to have some solid production this year.
Unlike Tennessee, the Colts have relied on a committee of running backs, all of whom have had relative success levels behind a strong offensive line. Nyheim Hines ran the ball 12 times for 70 yards and a touchdown the last time these teams played, and he added 5 catches for 45 yards and a touchdown, as well. Last week, rookie Jonathan Taylor was the top rusher again as he ran for 90 yards on 22 carries. The Colts haven’t been quite the rushing offense we expected before the season, but Hines, Taylor, and even Jordan Wilkins have found some success this season. Indy ran for 133 yards and 2 touchdowns on 29 carries as a team the last time these squads played.
Michael Pittman Jr. has begun to emerge for the Colts in recent weeks as the rookie wideout has 3+ catches and 50+ yards in three straight games. Last week, he showed his big-play potential as he took a slant route 45 yards to the house. The last time the Colts faced the Titans, Pittman finished with 7 catches for 101 yards in his first 100-yard receiving game as a pro. With the Titans facing some key injuries in their secondary, I expect another strong game for the rookie receiver.
Outside of Pittman, there hasn’t really been any standout receiving weapons for the Colts this season. Running back Nyheim Hines leads the team with 36 catches for 296 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Zach Pascal trails close behind with 31 catches for 384 yards and 2 touchdowns. Philip Rivers has also looked to utilize his tight ends often as the trio of Mo Alie-Cox, Trey Burton, and Jack Doyle have combined for 52 catches for 725 yards and 6 touchdowns so far this year.
The Colts’ offensive line has been one of the league’s best this season as they’ve held Philip Rivers to just one sack per game, the fewest in the NFL. The Colts’ rushing offense has been solid all year long, and whether it’s been Hines, Taylor, or Wilkins, the offensive line has helped them produce. Quenton Nelson and Ryan Kelly have been one of the league’s best interior offensive line duos. Right tackle Braden Smith missed the game last week, but he’s expected to suit up against the Titans. As compared to the patchwork Titans’ offensive line, the Colts have had an incredible level of continuity in the group of Nelson, Kelly, Smith, Mark Glowinski, and Anthony Costanzo – that’s a huge reason for their success this season.
Indianapolis has allowed the second-fewest yards per game and the fifth-fewest points per game, making them one of the most efficient defenses in football. In holding the Packers to just 3 points in the second half and overtime last week, they proved that their defensive production could extend to games against top offenses in the NFL. The team’s top defensive lineman, DeForest Buckner, tested positive for COVID-19, and it’s unclear if he’ll be able to suit up this week. Cornerback Rock Ya-Sin and impressive rookie safety Julian Blackmon are dealing with non-COVID illnesses, but both players are expected to play this week. In the Titans and Colts’ last matchup, Indy held Tennessee to under 300 yards of offense and just 3-10 conversions on 3rd down.
Like the Titans, the Colts have been one of the most efficient teams this year in turnovers – they have a +6 turnover differential that ties them at 4th in the NFL in that category. Last week, Indianapolis impressed with four forced turnovers on one of the least turnover-prone teams in the Packers – that was one of the keys to the game. They now have 17 takeaways this season, the fourth-most in the NFL, although there were no turnovers in the last meeting between the Titans and Colts. If turnovers decide this game, I would certainly give the Colts the edge in that respect.
The Colts’ special teams was a huge difference-maker the last time these teams met as Rigoberto Sanchez hit a 46-yard punt, Rodrigo Blankenship went 2/2 on field goals 4/4 on extra points, and the special teams unit blocked a Titans’ punt and returned it for a touchdown. Sanchez and Blankenship have helped the Colts put together one of the most efficient special teams this season. Blankenship, the former University of George kicker, has put together a phenomenal season as he’s hit on 23 of 26 field goals, the second-most in the NFL, and 25 of 27 extra points. He’s certainly the better kicker than Stephen Gostkowski.
Indianapolis Colts Depth Chart
Spread: Colts -3, Titans +3
Moneyline: Colts -175, Titans +155
Over/Under: 51.5 points
The majority of bettors have been hitting the Titans in this game, despite the Colts winning the first matchup between them. Both of these teams are coming off perhaps the most impressive win of their respective seasons, and they’ll be hungry for a victory in the divisional rematch that could determine the fate of the AFC South. With DeForest Buckner likely missing this game due to COVID-19, I believe Derrick Henry will be a force to be reckoned with and enable the rest of Tennessee’s offense to flourish. The Titans are missing a few of their top secondary players and some key offensive linemen, but they showed a ton of heart and resolve in their road win over the Ravens. Ryan Tannehill has been the better quarterback than Philip Rivers this season, and I’ll give the Titans’ offense the edge as one of the most efficient units in football, even against a very stout Colts’ defense. Tennessee should resolve some of their special teams’ woes, and I’ll pick them to cover the spread and perhaps pull off the upset win on the road for the second straight week.
My predictions: Titans win 28-24, Titans cover, over 51.5 points
- Michigan Sports Betting
- Illinois Sports Betting
- New York Sports Betting
- Tennessee Sports Betting
- DraftKings Illinois
- BetMGM Michigan
- FanDuel Michigan
- DraftKings Michigan
You can bet on this NFL game legally. Sports betting has been legalized in the US. You must be located in a legalized state in order to bet online.
Daily Fantasy Picks
I normally don’t advise playing running backs against the Colts, who have allowed just 3.5 yards per attempt on the ground, the third-fewest in the NFL. However, Derrick Henry is the exception to the rule as he has averaged 22.9 rushing attempts per game and has run for 9 touchdowns, tied for the second-most among all running backs. He provides an excellent baseline and a fine play, even in a tougher matchup.
Michael Pittman, Jr.
The Colts’ rookie receiver has emerged in recent weeks, and he caught his first career touchdown last week. With 56 or more yards in each of the past three games, he’s averaged 14.8 PPR points over that span. The Titans are dealing with a handful of injuries to key players in their secondary at the moment, and the path is paved for Pittman to be a major value in DFS moving forward.
Indianapolis’s defense has been strong across the board, and there isn’t a clear weakness to pick on, but consider this a vote of confidence for A.J. Brown. He’s one of the most talented receivers in the NFL, as he proved yet again in a tough matchup against the Ravens last week. With Adam Humphries out, he and Corey Davis will pick up the bulk of the targets at receiver. He’s scored 7 touchdowns in 8 games and is a constant threat to score, something he’ll look to do again in this game.
It’s been not easy to project when Hines’ usage will come this season, although he seemed to be a clear part of the Colts’ gameplan a couple of weeks ago when these teams met as he racked up 115 yards from scrimmage and 2 touchdowns on 17 touches in the game. The Titans have allowed the 5th-most fantasy points per game to running backs, so Hines has plenty of upside in this matchup. Regardless of whether he’s the lead guy in the backfield, he will get touches, and he presents a strong value in DFS.