Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Player Props & Picks (10/8/23)

The Indianapolis Colts host the Tennessee Titans this Sunday afternoon (10/8/23). Get Titans vs. Colts player props odds, predictions, and best bets, including Michael Pittman, DeAndre Hopkins, and Nick Folk.

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Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Picks

Which players will provide a needed boost? Check out below for Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts best bets.

Michael Pittman Over 5.5 Receptions (+106 Caesars) & Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-110 Bet365)

Tennessee’s below average secondary (19th in PFF’s coverage grade) has given up the seventh most passing yards and fourth most receptions so far. Check out opponent’s top receiver stats against them:

  • Chris Olave (8 receptions, 112 yards)
  • Keenan Allen (8 receptions, 111 yards)
  • Amari Cooper (7 receptions, 116 yards)
  • Ja’Marr Chase (7 receptions, 73 yards)

The only player to not breach 100 yards was Ja’Marr Chase, but he managed 73 despite his quarterback essentially playing on one leg. Enter Michael Pittman, who ranks ninth across the NFL in targets and eighth in first read targets (per Fantasy Points). 75 percent of Anthony Richardson’s targets have been to his first read, good for third in the NFL. That’s not surprising considering he’s a raw rookie, so Pittman should continue to benefit.

Pittman’s reception odds have an implied probability of about 48 percent, while his yards odds are at 53 percent.

DeAndre Hopkins Over 4.5 Receptions (+100 BMGM)

DeAndre Hopkins also owns a juicy matchup here. Indianapolis’ secondary ranks 25th in PFF’s coverage grade, and opponents own the seventh most receptions against them. Top receivers have done the following:

  • Calvin Ridley (8 receptions)
  • Nico Collins (7 receptions)
  • Zay Flowers (8 receptions)
  • Puka Nacua (9 receptions)

Tennessee’s run-heavy offense and inefficient quarterback play have diminished Hopkins’ individual numbers; he’s notched 7, 4, 3, and 4 receptions through four weeks. However, it’s an excellent matchup for the veteran, and Indianapolis’ strong run defense (3.8 yards per rush, 13th run defense PFF grade) likely forces the Titans to throw the ball more than usual.

Hopkins’ odds hold an implied probability of about 50 percent.

Nick Folk Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-105 DK)

The Titans own a 38.46 touchdown percentage in the red zone this season, which ranks 29th. Because they cannot complete drives at a high rate, it’s led to volume for kicker Nick Folk. He’s made 5, 2, 1, and 2 field goals in games this year and hasn’t missed a kick yet. Tennessee should be able to move the ball against Indianapolis’ secondary, and Derrick Henry routinely extends drives that appear to be dead. As a result, Tennessee likely finds themselves in a position to kick a field goal numerous times, which bodes well for Folk’s perfect leg.

Folk’s field goal implied probability is about 51 percent.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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