Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at Paycom Center on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The series is tied 2-2.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Venue: Paycom Center

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 119 – Mavericks 111

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-8.2)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (213.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 230.4
  • The Thunder have covered the spread less often than the Mavericks this year, putting up an ATS record of 47-35-0, compared to the 48-34-0 mark of the Mavs.
  • As a 4.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Oklahoma City is 25-15 against the spread compared to the 7-8 ATS record Dallas racks up as a 4.5-point underdog.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have eclipsed the total 56.1% of the time this season (46 out of 82). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (36 out of 82).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Mavericks are 11-18, while the Thunder are 46-14 as moneyline favorites.

Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder have a top-five offense this year, ranking third-best in the league with 120.1 points per game. At the other end, they rank 11th with 112.7 points allowed per contest.
  • Oklahoma City is pulling down only 42 rebounds per game (fourth-worst in NBA), and it is allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest (23rd-ranked).
  • So far this year, the Thunder rank 11th in the league in assists, dishing out 27.1 per game.
  • Oklahoma City has been shining in terms of turnovers this year, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.8) and best in forced turnovers per contest (15).
  • With a 38.9% three-point percentage this season, the Thunder are best in the NBA. They rank eighth in the league by draining 13.3 treys per contest.

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are seventh in the league in points scored (117.9 per game) and 20th in points allowed (115.6).
  • Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds per game (42.9) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).
  • At 25.7 assists per game, the Mavericks are 19th in the NBA.
  • In 2023-24, Dallas is seventh in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.1 per game) and 15th in turnovers forced (13).
  • Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are 13th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%.
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