Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at Paycom Center on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The series is tied 2-2.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Catch NBA action all season long on Fubo!

Thunder vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 119 – Mavericks 111

Sign up for NBA League Pass to get live and on-demand access to NBA games

Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-8.2)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (213.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 230.4
  • The Thunder have covered the spread less often than the Mavericks this year, putting up an ATS record of 47-35-0, compared to the 48-34-0 mark of the Mavs.
  • As a 4.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Oklahoma City is 25-15 against the spread compared to the 7-8 ATS record Dallas racks up as a 4.5-point underdog.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have eclipsed the total 56.1% of the time this season (46 out of 82). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (36 out of 82).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Mavericks are 11-18, while the Thunder are 46-14 as moneyline favorites.

Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder have a top-five offense this year, ranking third-best in the league with 120.1 points per game. At the other end, they rank 11th with 112.7 points allowed per contest.
  • Oklahoma City is pulling down only 42 rebounds per game (fourth-worst in NBA), and it is allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest (23rd-ranked).
  • So far this year, the Thunder rank 11th in the league in assists, dishing out 27.1 per game.
  • Oklahoma City has been shining in terms of turnovers this year, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.8) and best in forced turnovers per contest (15).
  • With a 38.9% three-point percentage this season, the Thunder are best in the NBA. They rank eighth in the league by draining 13.3 treys per contest.

Rep your team with officially licensed NBA gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.

Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are seventh in the league in points scored (117.9 per game) and 20th in points allowed (115.6).
  • Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds per game (42.9) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).
  • At 25.7 assists per game, the Mavericks are 19th in the NBA.
  • In 2023-24, Dallas is seventh in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.1 per game) and 15th in turnovers forced (13).
  • Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are 13th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%.
Shared content written by the Lineups Staff!

Hot NBA Picks Stories