Predictions for Tigers vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s contest between the Cleveland Guardians (57-34) and the Detroit Tigers (44-49) at Comerica Park is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Guardians securing the victory. Game time is at 1:10 PM ET on July 11.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Tigers vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Tigers -122 +102 8 -104 -125

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Tigers Betting Insights

  • Detroit has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year, and has walked away with the win 19 times (48.7%) in those games.
  • The Tigers have a mark of 14-12 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of 92 opportunities.
  • The Tigers had a 1-3 record in the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Detroit and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has compiled a 16-14 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 53.3% of those games).
  • The Guardians have gone 11-10 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer (52.4%).
  • In the 91 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-39-6).
  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 10-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 3.24, an 8.21 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000.
  • Jack Flaherty’s team has won 25% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-6).
  • Flaherty’s team has won eight of his 15 starts this season.
  • Games Flaherty has started this season hit the over seven times in 15 chances.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Howard

  • In seven games this season, he has put up a 5.63 ERA and averages 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .327 against him.
  • The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for one Spencer Howard start this season — they won.
  • His team split the two games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Howard’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

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Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-49
Home 21-23
Road 23-26
One-Run Games 16-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-6

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-34
Home 30-11
Road 27-23
One-Run Games 17-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 43-6

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