Predictions for Tigers vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s contest between the Cleveland Guardians (57-34) and the Detroit Tigers (44-49) at Comerica Park is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Guardians securing the victory. Game time is at 1:10 PM ET on July 11.

Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!

Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Info

MLB is back on Apple TV+! Watch two live games every week, daily coverage, and more.

Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Bet on this or any MLB matchup at BetMGM

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Tigers vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Tigers -122 +102 8 -104 -125

Get tickets for any MLB game this season at Ticketmaster!

Tigers Betting Insights

  • Detroit has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year, and has walked away with the win 19 times (48.7%) in those games.
  • The Tigers have a mark of 14-12 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of 92 opportunities.
  • The Tigers had a 1-3 record in the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Detroit and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has compiled a 16-14 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 53.3% of those games).
  • The Guardians have gone 11-10 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer (52.4%).
  • In the 91 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-39-6).
  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 10-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

Catch MLB action all season long on ESPN+!

Read More About This Game

Tigers vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 3.24, an 8.21 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000.
  • Jack Flaherty’s team has won 25% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-6).
  • Flaherty’s team has won eight of his 15 starts this season.
  • Games Flaherty has started this season hit the over seven times in 15 chances.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Howard

  • In seven games this season, he has put up a 5.63 ERA and averages 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .327 against him.
  • The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for one Spencer Howard start this season — they won.
  • His team split the two games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Howard’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.

Tigers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-49
Home 21-23
Road 23-26
One-Run Games 16-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-6

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-34
Home 30-11
Road 27-23
One-Run Games 17-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 43-6

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

Shared content written by the Lineups Staff!

Hot MLB Stories