Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Finals Game 1

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at Target Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, May 22, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 116 – Mavericks 108

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-7.7)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (206.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 224.3
  • The Mavericks’ .585 ATS win percentage (48-34-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Timberwolves’ .500 mark (41-41-0 ATS Record) in 2023-24.
  • As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Dallas is 7-8 against the spread compared to the 21-24 ATS record Minnesota puts up as a 4.5-point favorite.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the over/under 50% of the time this season (41 out of 82). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (36 out of 82).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Timberwolves are 46-15, a better record than the Mavericks have recorded (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves are posting 113 points per game this season (18th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really shined defensively, giving up only 106.5 points per contest (best).
  • Minnesota ranks fourth-best in the NBA by allowing only 41.4 rebounds per game. It ranks 15th in the league by grabbing 43.6 boards per contest.
  • The Timberwolves rank 15th in the NBA with 26.6 dimes per game.
  • Minnesota is committing 13.4 turnovers per game this year (19th-ranked in NBA), and it has forced 13.6 turnovers per contest (fifth-best).
  • With a 38.7% three-point percentage this season, the Timberwolves rank third-best in the NBA. They rank 15th in the league by sinking 12.6 three-pointers per contest.

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are seventh in the NBA in points scored (117.9 per game) and 20th in points conceded (115.6).
  • In 2023-24, Dallas is 21st in the NBA in rebounds (42.9 per game) and 25th in rebounds conceded (45.1).
  • The Mavericks are 19th in the NBA in assists (25.7 per game) in 2023-24.
  • Dallas is seventh in the league in turnovers per game (12.1) and 15th in turnovers forced (13).
  • Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are 13th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%.
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