Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Finals Game 2

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 5.5-point favorites heading into Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at Target Center on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The Mavericks lead the series 1-0.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, May 24, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 116 – Mavericks 108

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 5.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-7.4)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (207.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 224.2
  • The Timberwolves have been less successful against the spread than the Mavericks this season, sporting an ATS record of 41-41-0, as opposed to the 48-34-0 mark of the Mavs.
  • When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Minnesota (20-21) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (48.8%) than Dallas (2-6) does as the underdog (25%).
  • Minnesota and its opponents have exceeded the over/under 50% of the time this season (41 out of 82). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (36 out of 82).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Timberwolves are 46-15, a better tally than the Mavericks have recorded (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves have been led by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by surrendering just 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113 per contest).
  • Minnesota ranks fourth-best in the NBA by allowing only 41.4 rebounds per game. It ranks 15th in the league by grabbing 43.6 rebounds per contest.
  • The Timberwolves are putting up 26.6 dimes per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2023-24.
  • Minnesota is committing 13.4 turnovers per game this season (19th-ranked in NBA), and it has forced 13.6 turnovers per contest (fifth-best).
  • The Timberwolves rank third-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.7%. They rank 15th in the league by draining 12.6 three-pointers per contest.

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks score 117.9 points per game and allow 115.6, making them seventh in the league on offense and 20th on defense.
  • Dallas grabs 42.9 rebounds per game and give up 45.1 boards, ranking 21st and 25th, respectively, in the NBA.
  • This season the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA in assists at 25.7 per game.
  • In 2023-24, Dallas is seventh in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.1 per game) and 15th in turnovers forced (13).
  • The Mavericks are the third-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and 13th in 3-point percentage (36.9%).
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