Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Finals Game 5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at Target Center on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The Mavericks lead the series 3-1.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, May 30, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 115 – Mavericks 108

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-7.0)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (209.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 223.9
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread less often than the Mavericks this season, putting up an ATS record of 41-41-0, as opposed to the 48-34-0 mark of the Mavs.
  • Minnesota and Dallas cover the same percentage of spreads this season (46.7%) when the spread conditions of the game are equal to or greater than Thursday’s line (T-Wolves as favorites by 4.5 or more and Mavs as underdogs by 4.5 or more).
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total 50% of the time this season (41 out of 82), which is more often than Dallas’ games have (36 out of 82).
  • The Timberwolves have a .754 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (46-15) this season, higher than the .379 winning percentage for the Mavericks as a moneyline underdog (11-18).

Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by surrendering only 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113 per contest).
  • Minnesota is grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game this year (15th-ranked in NBA), and it has allowed only 41.4 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
  • The Timberwolves are averaging 26.6 dimes per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2023-24.
  • Minnesota is averaging 13.4 turnovers per game this year (19th-ranked in NBA), and it has forced 13.6 turnovers per contest (fifth-best).
  • With a 38.7% three-point percentage this season, the Timberwolves are third-best in the NBA. They rank 15th in the league by making 12.6 three-pointers per contest.

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks put up 117.9 points per game and allow 115.6, making them seventh in the NBA offensively and 20th on defense.
  • On the glass, Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game). It is 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1 per game).
  • The Mavericks are 19th in the league in assists (25.7 per game) in 2023-24.
  • Dallas commits 12.1 turnovers per game and force 13 per game, ranking seventh and 15th, respectively, in the league.
  • In 2023-24 the Mavericks are third-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.6 per game), and they rank No. 13 in 3-point percentage (36.9%).
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