Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 6

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 2.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, May 16, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 112 – Nuggets 108

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-4.0)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (205.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 220.9
  • The Nuggets (39-43-0 ATS) have covered the spread 50% of the time, 2.4% less often than the Timberwolves (41-41-0) this season.
  • Minnesota covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 46.4% of the time. That’s less often than Denver covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (50%).
  • When it comes to going over the point total in 2023-24, Minnesota does it better (50% of the time) than Denver (45.1%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Timberwolves are 46-15, while the Nuggets are 4-6 as moneyline underdogs.

Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves are scoring 113 points per game this season (18th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well defensively, giving up only 106.5 points per contest (best).
  • Minnesota is grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and it has allowed just 41.4 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
  • This year, the Timberwolves rank 15th in the league in assists, dishing out 26.6 per game.
  • Minnesota ranks fifth-best in the NBA by forcing 13.6 turnovers per game. It ranks 19th in the league by averaging 13.4 turnovers per contest.
  • The Timberwolves are making 12.6 treys per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and they sport a 38.7% three-point percentage (third-best).

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Nuggets Performance Insights

  • In 2023-24, the Nuggets are 14th in the NBA on offense (114.9 points scored per game) and sixth on defense (109.6 points allowed).
  • Denver is seventh in the league in rebounds per game (44.4) and seventh in rebounds conceded (42.3).
  • The Nuggets are third-best in the league in assists (29.5 per game) in 2023-24.
  • In 2023-24, Denver is fourth-best in the league in turnovers committed (11.8 per game) but fourth-worst in turnovers forced (11.7).
  • With 11.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 37.4% from beyond the arc, the Nuggets are 25th and ninth in the league, respectively, in those categories.
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