The Packers got themselves back on track with a win over the Cowboys this past Sunday, but was it a true breakthrough? A Thursday night matchup with a tough Titans defense might give us the answer. Tennessee has put up more than a few impressive defensive displays this season, but the offense has lagged far behind.
In a matchup between last year’s No. 1 seeds, Tennessee will be trying to preserve its big AFC South lead while Green Bay is hoping to save its season with another win. Let’s make predictions, dive into the depth charts, and take a look at the odds ahead of Thursday’s matchup at Lambeau Field.
Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers Odds
The Packers are 3-point home favorites, entering at -150 on the moneyline. The over/under is set at 42 points.
Green Bay proved against Dallas that Lambeau Field still might mean something even in this season to forget. The offense we saw from the Packers is enough to win this game, but can they replicate that performance against a Titans defense that has given just about every opponent a tough time? In a matchup of two coaches who know each other well, this has a chance to be a low-scoring defensive battle won by the team that makes fewer mistakes.
Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction
The Titans’ offense ranks among the league’s worst this season, yet they’re 6-3. Defense and terrific coaching have kept other struggling offenses at bay all season, and that will be the goal again on Thursday night.
I’m not convinced the Packers’ performance against the Cowboys was a breakthrough. Aaron Rodgers didn’t throw much at all until late in the game, and Green Bay can’t count on the running game to be efficient each week. There is some good news for the Packers here. Jeffery Simmons and Bud Dupree are both questionable at best for this game, thinning out a talented Titans front seven.
In addition, it’s possible Rodgers has found a solution at wide receiver in rookie Christian Watson. Watson still made a couple mistakes on Sunday but looked like a legitimate NFL weapon with three touchdowns. Rodgers might have more time to throw than the Titans would like, allowing him to continue cultivating that connection with Watson.
At this point, I don’t have much faith in Tennessee’s offense in what’s expected to be a very cold Lambeau Field. Packers moneyline is the safer play in what should be a low-scoring game, but Packers -3 feels closer to reality than Titans +3.
- The Titans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Mike Vrabel has been getting the most out of his group, though an ugly 0-2 start created some of these lines.
- The Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday night games. Only some of these games have come under Matt LaFleur, but Rodgers’ preparedness on a short week is notable.
- The under is 6-0 in the Titans’ last 6 games. Defense, defense, defense for this edition of the Titans.
Tennessee Titans Injuries: DT Jeffery Simmons (ankle), OLB Bud Dupree (hip), C Ben Jones (concussion), and K Randy Bullock (calf) all didn’t participate Monday and are questionable. CB Kristian Fulton (hamstring) is questionable with a hamstring injury. LB Zach Cunningham (elbow) is questionable.
Green Bay Packers Injuries: LB De’Vondre Campbell (knee) is questionable after missing Week 10. OLB Rashan Gary (torn ACL) and Eric Stokes (knee, ankle) remain out. WR Romeo Doubs isn’t expected to play due to an ankle injury.
Check out the key matchups and mismatches for Lions vs. Bears below.
Derrick Henry vs. Packers Run Defense
The Titans are not going to win this game by throwing the ball. That was true even before the forecast called for below-freezing temperatures. The offense will focus on Derrick Henry, who is no stranger to serving as a workhorse. Unless Ryan Tannehill makes some magic happen, there will be serious pressure on Henry to have a big night.
The Packers’ run defense ranks well below average this season, sitting 28th with over 1,400 yards allowed while surrendering 4.8 yards/carry. That should open the door for some production from Henry, but his standard production still might not be enough.
Packers Offensive Line vs. Titans Front Seven
The Titans have kept quarterbacks on their toes all season, but potential absences by Simmons and Dupree might make the path to pressuring Rodgers more difficult. Green Bay’s offensive line has held up much better in recent weeks, with Rodgers taking only five sacks in his last four games.
If the Packers can take advantage of the Titans’ thinner front seven and give Rodgers plenty of time to throw, there’s a much better chance Green Bay can build on last week’s performance.