Predictions for Twins vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5

Friday’s contest between the Minnesota Twins (49-38) and Houston Astros (45-42) matching up at Target Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Twins, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will start at 8:10 PM ET on July 5.

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Twins vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Twins vs. Astros Betting Lines

Twins vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -118 -102 8 +100 -120

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been the favorite in 60 games this season, and has come away with the win 39 times (65%) in those contests.
  • The Twins have a win-loss record of 33-21 when favored by -118 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 43 of 86 opportunities.
  • The Twins went 9-5 across the 14 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to go over the run total 11 times.

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has won 52.2% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (12-11).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Astros have gone 8-7 (53.3%).
  • Houston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 87 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 33 of those games (33-50-4).
  • The Astros have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Houston and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Twins vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.88 ERA this season with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 17 games.
  • When Pablo Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-4.
  • Lopez’s team has a 10-7 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 8-8-1 at hitting the over.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Shawn Dubin

  • In 15 games this season, he has a 4.91 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .268 against him.
  • The Astros were named the moneyline underdog for one Shawn Dubin start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Dubin’s lone start with a total this season went over.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-38
Home 25-17
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-6

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-42
Home 24-19
Road 21-23
One-Run Games 5-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-5

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