Predictions for Twins vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7

Sunday’s contest features the Minnesota Twins (50-39) and the Houston Astros (46-43) facing off at Target Field in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Twins according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 2:10 PM ET on July 7.

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Twins vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Astros Betting Lines

Twins vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -148 +124 8.5 -115 -105

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been the favorite in 62 games this season, and has come away with the win 40 times (64.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Twins have come away with a win 23 times in 35 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 88 opportunities.
  • The Twins went 9-5 over the 14 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total 12 times.

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has won 52% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (13-12).
  • The Astros have a 2-2 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • Houston has played in 89 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-50-4).
  • The Astros have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and went 6-3 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Houston and its opponents are 9-5-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Twins vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson

  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.52 and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .225 in 14 games this season.
  • Simeon Woods Richardson’s team is 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Richardson’s team has a 10-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In Richardson’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti

  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 6.13, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .275 batting average against him.
  • The Astros have a 1-3 record in Arrighetti’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Arrighetti’s team has won seven of his 15 starts.
  • Spencer Arrighetti has started 15 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 50-39
Home 26-18
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 14-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-7

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-43
Home 24-19
Road 22-24
One-Run Games 6-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-5

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