Predictions for Twins vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 18

Tuesday’s contest between the Minnesota Twins (40-32) and the Tampa Bay Rays (34-38) at Target Field has a projected final score of 5-4 based on our computer prediction, with the Twins taking home the win. First pitch is at 7:40 PM on June 18.

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Twins vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Rays Betting Lines

Twins vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -185 +154 8.5 -108 -112

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been victorious in 30, or 65.2%, of the 46 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Twins have won 10 of 12 games when listed as at least -185 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 32 of 71 chances this season.
  • The Twins were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-3 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to go over the total seven times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has been the moneyline underdog 29 total times this season. It has gone 11-18 in those games.
  • The Rays have played as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
  • Tampa Bay has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 72 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 37 of those games (37-34-1).
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 8-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Twins vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with a 5.33 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .254.
  • Pablo Lopez’s team has a record of 6-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Lopez’s team has won seven of his 14 starts.
  • In Lopez’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Civale

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 5.20, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opponents are batting .266 against him.
  • The Rays were the underdog on the moneyline for five Aaron Civale starts this season — they lost each time.
  • Civale’s team is 4-10 over his 14 starts.
  • Civale has started 14 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in eight of them.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-32
Home 22-14
Road 18-18
One-Run Games 13-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-4

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-38
Home 19-23
Road 15-15
One-Run Games 13-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-5

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